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Tom's Hardware > Forum > News & Leisure > World News > The Bank Runs Begin

The Bank Runs Begin

Forum News & Leisure : World News The Bank Runs Begin

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http://ca.news.yahoo.com/latvias-l [...] 38265.html


Is it just me or does this look familiar to anyone else? I seem to recall this happening sometime in the past. Hmmm, trying to put my finger on it........... :sarcastic:

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Reply to Oldmangamer_73
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What? The bank run, or the rumors that started it?

Reply to jsc

Its only going to get worse when the EU can no longer kick the can down the road. China has already spoken loud and clear that they will loan no more money. That's why the Federal Reserve is trading Dollars for Euros right now. That will eventually dry up too and is a very bad thing.

We've seen this before in individual countries. This is the first time in history that it is being done globally.

Might be a good idea to keep some cash on hand if the ATMs are eventually shut down.

------------------------------ Politicians, like diapers, should be changed often and for the same reason. -uncredited
Reply to Oldmangamer_73

Buts its fiat currency, I can no longer trade my 20$ bill for gold. Couldn't they just artificially increase the value of the dollar.

I don't go to a bank either I use a credit union, same deal?

Reply to wanamingo

Credit unions get their money from the same place as regular banks do, so yeah.

The Fed is digitally printing so many dollars that it is becoming worthless. And, at the same time, we are trading a devalued dollar for an increasingly worthless Euro. I'm not a banker, but that just doesn't make sense to me.

I envision the barter system coming back. Hold on to things of value that you can trade. Preserved food, medicine, ammunition, cartons of ciggarettes, etc. That's going to be the only way to survive if this thing goes down.

Historically, the only way out of this mess has been world war to "reset" all the debt. What in the heck will the world look like after another world war though? sheesh!

------------------------------ Politicians, like diapers, should be changed often and for the same reason. -uncredited
Reply to Oldmangamer_73

What, specifically, is bullshit? The Fed buying Euros? How do you think that is going to end reynod?

Please enlighten all of us with your banking genius. You are obiously so well versed in history that you recognize this has NEVER happened before, EVER, to any other country.

I'm sure your historical education is so stellar, that you realize a country that monetizes its own debt always creates a positive outcome for its people. yes im sure.

I'm sure you are perfectly aware that a country that engages in quantitative easing, and then does it again, and then again, and is thinking about doing it again, always has a great positive effect on the prosperity of its people. I'm certain you realize this. Certain of it....... :sarcastic:


Message edited by Oldmangamer_73 on 12-14-2011 at 03:27:29 PM
------------------------------ Politicians, like diapers, should be changed often and for the same reason. -uncredited
Reply to Oldmangamer_73

I dont know enough about this subject to really comment but perhaps if we are comparing it to another well know collapse some number mayhaps?

My meat computer handles numbers and comparisons well but rhetoric causes blue screens.

Reply to wanamingo
- 0 +

I possess the sociological imagination my friend.

You will probably need to consult google for an hour or so to work up a reply.

I'll give you a few hours ... Mills isn't easy to just skim over.

I need to get some sleep as I need to work tomorrow ... as an academic.

In the meantime I leave you with Aristotle:

"One swallow does not a summer make, nor one fine day; similarly one day or brief time of happiness does not make a person entirely happy."

:)


------------------------------ http://www.reverbnation.com/ofhoovesandhorn

Reply to REYNOD

Thanks for not answering my question and adding something of real substance to the discussion.

Sociological imagination? WTF?

------------------------------ Politicians, like diapers, should be changed often and for the same reason. -uncredited
Reply to Oldmangamer_73

Well I need to ask a few questions about sourcing:

 

China: Where and when did they ever say they would no longer buy American bonds?

 

Dollars to Euros: When are where was this documented?

 

Run on banks: Are you referring to the last US bank that fell because of rumor mongering: Indy Mac?

 

Although you invision the barter system coming back, you recommend to hold on to dollars: Yet, as Wanamingo stated, we are on a fiat currency that has ZERO intrinsic value. With the demise of Breton Woods, and the debasement of the currency via the Federal Reserve, we saw the price of our money plummet. Before WW2 the entire world pegged their money vs the US Dollar because we were still using bimetallism (Gold & Silver backed) to keep our money floating soundly. It wasn't until Nixon that the entire intrinsic value of the dollar was washed away, but it was already on a steady decline. So, in a short question, with your (perceived) prediction of a financial implosion, what good would it be to keep actual US dollars on hand when they already have no value?

Message quoted 1 times
Message edited by l0ckd0wn on 12-15-2011 at 02:49:33 AM
------------------------------ "In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act." - George Orwell
Reply to l0ckd0wn

OK, the point of having dollars, instead of frozen accounts does work, although it could be short term
As for China, as theyve purposely devalued their currency, so too has the rest of the world, in various ways.

One cant live without the other, and trade must go on, as the devaluation continues, the debts are also devalued, its a tail chasing game, and foolish at that, but until China finalizes their currency, and decides to trade on a more equal basis, we will see more of this, and as OPEC continues to raise their price, it isnt matching the overall devaluations going on.

In essence, a crazy way of defending your currency, started by China, who was big enough to have to respond to
Thats one theory

------------------------------ If we lose this freedom of ours, history will record with the greatest astonishment, those who had the most to lose, did the least to prevent its happening
Reply to JAYDEEJOHN

l0ckd0wn wrote :

China: Where and when did they ever say they would no longer buy American bonds?

It's not that China is no longer buying American debt it's that the Chinese government reduced its holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds. Semantics.

 
l0ckd0wn wrote :

Dollars to Euros: When are where was this documented?

Fed bailing out the Euro. Note the source, not something that was widely reported by mainstream American media. But, since then,this has happened. Again, note the source. And again, something not widely reported by mainstream American media.

 
l0ckd0wn wrote :

Although you invision the barter system coming back, you recommend to hold on to dollars: Yet, as Wanamingo stated, we are on a fiat currency that has ZERO intrinsic value. With the demise of Breton Woods, and the debasement of the currency via the Federal Reserve, we saw the price of our money plummet. Before WW2 the entire world pegged their money vs the US Dollar because we were still using bimetallism (Gold & Silver backed) to keep our money floating soundly. It wasn't until Nixon that the entire intrinsic value of the dollar was washed away, but it was already on a steady decline. So, in a short question, with your (perceived) prediction of a financial implosion, what good would it be to keep actual US dollars on hand when they already have no value?

The fact that the American Dollar is a fiat currency is largely a moot point. List the countries that are on a gold standard. The very fact that the American Dollar is a fiat currency and it's perceived value in the global economy carries an inherent value. We're left with international banks colluding with each other to manage global monetary policy. That's what the globalists and central banks have turned money into, money for the sake of money. Currency being any thing other than a medium for debts and credits is pointless. Given the global banking system, currency is a commodity and it no longer needs to be tied to a natural resource.

 

In the event of any impending financial collapse, America will not go down alone, China and the EU will collapse as well. It's just a matter of degrees at that point. As long as the American Dollar remains the global backing currency, federal reserve notes will have value.


Message edited by chunkymonster on 12-20-2011 at 04:17:10 AM
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Reply to chunkymonster
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Here in Australia we should be fine.

All my mates have stocked up on beer, prawn and nuts.

------------------------------ http://www.reverbnation.com/ofhoovesandhorn

Reply to REYNOD

Then there is this story from reuters going back to the end of Sept. 2011.

http://www.reuters.com/article/200 [...] 3720080925

If they are planning on there being a financial collapse, you can count on there being one.

My point about having some cash, not necessarily dollars, on hand, is so you can eat, put gas in your car, and pay for your life saving prescriptions if your checking account is frozen and the ATM's are shut down.

Also remember, the dollar is the worlds reserve currency. Though for how much longer I don't know. What do you think is going to happen when the Fed can no longer just print money at will?


Message edited by Oldmangamer_73 on 12-20-2011 at 02:39:57 PM
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Reply to Oldmangamer_73
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Why ... are they running out of paper or the ink?

If it is due to not being able to pay the power bill they should have some manual printing machines on hand.

------------------------------ http://www.reverbnation.com/ofhoovesandhorn

Reply to REYNOD

REYNOD wrote :

Why ... are they running out of paper or the ink?

If it is due to not being able to pay the power bill they should have some manual printing machines on hand.



No, if the rest of the world drops the dollar as the reserve currency the Fed will no longer be able to just print money to satisfy debts. Defaults galore! Fa La-La La-La.

------------------------------ Politicians, like diapers, should be changed often and for the same reason. -uncredited
Reply to Oldmangamer_73

What may happen is if either the EU or the US defaults...china will go down as well. To me, that will not be pretty as the chinese government may blame us for the downfall...or did we cause it?

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Reply to dogman_1234

Does anyone agree that it is fact the chinese yuan is tied to the US dollar, and that if the dollar fails, yuan fails as well.

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Reply to dogman_1234

dogman_1234 wrote :

What may happen is if either the EU or the US defaults...china will go down as well. To me, that will not be pretty as the chinese government may blame us for the downfall...or did we cause it?


dogman_1234 wrote :

Does anyone agree that it is fact the chinese yuan is tied to the US dollar, and that if the dollar fails, yuan fails as well.

I think is that there has been a concerted effort by the Chinese government to fight an economic war with America. Ever since China was given favored nation status they've increased their exposure to the dollar resulting in them owning 24% of America's debt. They used the strength of the American dollar to build their infrastructure and military; something the Chinese government can no longer afford to do given the devaluation of the dollar. You may have seen the reports of HUGE newly built cities all but devoid of Chinese citizens, the government demanding mayors return 8% on the infrastructure spending, and China's recently selling off Treasury bonds. I agree that if the EU or the US defaults then China will go down too, but based solely on their own central economic planning they were on the path to their own financial issues. If China blames America for a default I don't think it will make any difference other to make for interesting politics. What's China going to do? Stop exporting products to the US, products that are most likely already being made in some other country, with the worst case scenario being they unload America's debt. Chances are they will have a hard time selling it off or settling it out with the Federal Reserve. China will be much better off if the American economy to does well.

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Reply to chunkymonster

That is the thing. chunky:

I have a relative who visited china. The people there have reported that they cannot even afford their education of their own children. ( Sounds familiar guys?)

China was too quick to rise. They will be quick to fall. Let me put it this way: They got their whole paycheck in one year, whereas other countries got their whole paychecks over decades. they went crazy and began building an empire overnight. Rome and the US took decades. Decades. it will be interesting to see what will become of the world in the next 5 years. Heck, I am interested in the changes we will see next year in 2012!

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Reply to dogman_1234
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Doggy you read this on the back of a cereal box or what?

China is currently starving North Korea so they can move in when there are only a couple of fat generals left to complain.

Then they plan to move in a couple of old tractors and overhaul the entire economy.

Unfortunately the sound of music will then be banned again.

------------------------------ http://www.reverbnation.com/ofhoovesandhorn

Reply to REYNOD

dog, every currency is tied to the dollar, including the yuan. That's what being the world's reserve currency means. You can go anywhere in the world and buy something with a dollar, well that used to be the case for the most part, you can't do that with most other currencies. This is why only dollars can prop up the Euro. Prop it up for a time mind you, not save it. The Euro is done, and the EU with it when it collapses. It's only a matter of time. France is getting ready to be downgraded, and others will follow suit. The question is, what will it look like after.

Countries will still be there. People will still be there. But, when people begin starving, and economies grind to a halt; that's when wars happen. It's happened before and I think its going to happen again, IMO.

------------------------------ Politicians, like diapers, should be changed often and for the same reason. -uncredited
Reply to Oldmangamer_73

In that case, Socialism won't be a problem. I am thinking that a difference force in politics will rise around the world. This could mean an end to the American dream and a beginning to a global regime in state run institutions in each continent.

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Reply to dogman_1234
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Welcome Bayoutiger to News and Leisure ... oops he was hate-liberals ...so off to permaban again.

:)


Message edited by REYNOD on 12-21-2011 at 05:02:03 PM
Reply to REYNOD

Oh good, all is well now........ :sarcastic:


http://news.yahoo.com/ecb-lends-ba [...] 03540.html

------------------------------ Politicians, like diapers, should be changed often and for the same reason. -uncredited
Reply to Oldmangamer_73
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The last sentence in the article was the biggest worry omg.

I am starting to think (after some more reading) that you may not be quite as insane as I initially thought you were.

This is causing me some cognitive dissonance ...

I may need to insult you further to help resolve my internal conflict.

Alternatively i could agree with you ... I am unsure which will cause more pain.

Please ... go easy on me with the "I told you so".

Signs in our economy (other post) are now looking bad.

------------------------------ http://www.reverbnation.com/ofhoovesandhorn

Reply to REYNOD

REYNOD wrote :

The last sentence in the article was the biggest worry omg.

I am starting to think (after some more reading) that you may not be quite as insane as I initially thought you were.

This is causing me some cognitive dissonance ...

I may need to insult you further to help resolve my internal conflict.

Alternatively i could agree with you ... I am unsure which will cause more pain.

Please ... go easy on me with the "I told you so".

Signs in our economy (other post) are now looking bad.




I won't say that to you reynod. I will say I truly wish you and your family best of luck and best wishes. I think tough times are coming; for ALL of us on a global scale.

I wish I were insane and what is currently happening was not really happening. But, as you said, if you do a little reading you will quickly see we are being lied to and all of this is not in the "little guy's" best interest at all. It's going to hurt.


Message edited by Oldmangamer_73 on 12-21-2011 at 05:51:22 PM
------------------------------ Politicians, like diapers, should be changed often and for the same reason. -uncredited
Reply to Oldmangamer_73

So, can gamer predict this Depression we will have soon?

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Reply to dogman_1234

dogman_1234 wrote :

In that case, Socialism won't be a problem. I am thinking that a difference force in politics will rise around the world. This could mean an end to the American dream and a beginning to a global regime in state run institutions in each continent.

If anything, my guess would be that any different force that would rise from a global financial collapse would be more conservative and/or isolationist. The globalists and centralized banking cabal would need to seize control over sovereign nations in order to continue failed Socialist and centralized planning policies. And if that were to actually happen, the Occupy movement will look like a Sunday church sermon compared F-150's full of rednecks armed with AR-15's moving on Washington.


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Reply to chunkymonster

If the central banks keep doing what they've been doing, financial and economic collaspe on a global scale is inevitable.

Something to watch for as an indicator is when the European Central Bank stops lending money to governments on the verge of default in Europe. Many are already on the verge yet the ECB keeps lending them Euros to hold off the defaults, and at the same time our Federal Reserve is proppiing up the Euro with dollars to perpetuate that. You will see individual countries begin to collapse, think Greece x100, except the riots happening in multiple countries simultaneously.

There is a good chance if this happens our Federal Reserve (as Federal as Federal Express) will be stuck with all the defaults in Europe because It will have been propping up the Euro for years by this time. Now, the other part. All the countries holding US treasuries, or all the countries holding our debt, China and Japan being the two biggest. What happens if they call in those treasuries, after dropping the dollar as the world reserve currency and we can no longer print money to pay those treasuries/debts? That means the US defaults, and all the countries holding our debt will not get paid. Remeber, by this time they are dealing with mass unemployment, riots in the streets becuase of austerity, and they will desperately need that cash that we wont be able to pay.

The USA will be perceived by the rest of the world as "THE 1%".

When will this happen you ask? Tough to say because I can't predict what the central banks will do. I can only see what they've been doing, are doing, and the inevitable outcome if they keep doing it. If they keep this up I would say, in 5-7 years the world will be on fire.

ninja edit: thats if the world doesn't end in 2012 :p


Message edited by Oldmangamer_73 on 12-21-2011 at 10:42:26 PM
------------------------------ Politicians, like diapers, should be changed often and for the same reason. -uncredited
Reply to Oldmangamer_73
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I'll have to side with the government ... even if they won't make Waltzing Matilda or Land down under the national anthem.

Over here it will probably be old guys in beat up corollas with nerf guns.

I'll be ready with my odachi and footy boots on.

------------------------------ http://www.reverbnation.com/ofhoovesandhorn

Reply to REYNOD

My main worries is the "guy" that fixes it all

------------------------------ If we lose this freedom of ours, history will record with the greatest astonishment, those who had the most to lose, did the least to prevent its happening
Reply to JAYDEEJOHN
- 0 +

Do we need to get Bill Clinton in as a consultant?

:)

------------------------------ http://www.reverbnation.com/ofhoovesandhorn

Reply to REYNOD

REYNOD wrote :

Do we need to get Bill Clinton in as a consultant?

:)




If you ask the customers of MF Global, they would probably say "hell no".

------------------------------ Politicians, like diapers, should be changed often and for the same reason. -uncredited
Reply to Oldmangamer_73
- 0 +

I actually work at a bank. Have for several years now. I've seen a lot go on, and have some of the inside information of what really happens. If there are specific questions, I may be able to answer.

I work in the Network department, so I don't have all the financial answers, but I am aware of how the audits, tarp, FDIC, and such have been conducted over the last few years.

------------------------------ CM HAF 932 / GIGABYTE GA-EP45T-DS3R / E8500 @ 3.75Ghz / 300GB Velociraptor / 4G DDR3 OCZ Reaper 1333
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Reply to aford10
- 0 +

Now it all makes sense ... you hang out with accountants aford?

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Reply to REYNOD
- 0 +

I actually work down the hall from the financial accounting department. Yes, I do talk to them frequently.

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Reply to aford10

Ask them if banks should bail out Americans.

:lol:

Message quoted 1 times
Message edited by dogman_1234 on 12-23-2011 at 07:43:31 AM
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Reply to dogman_1234
- 0 +

dogman_1234 wrote :

Ask them if banks should bail out Americans.

:lol:



In a way, banks are.

I know it seems like banks got a bail out, and some did. Some needed that to survive. However, many didn't. And since then, the FDIC has been on the banks like hounds, while TARP was forced on many banks, in order to increase their capital to meet the FDIC 'standard.'

TARP is now being paid back, plus interest, from the remaining banks that didn't get taken over by the government. It was a rough period, but the ones who remain are tested and strong.

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Reply to aford10

aford10 wrote :

TARP is now being paid back, plus interest, from the remaining banks that didn't get taken over by the government.




Is it just me, or did that jump out at anyone else?? :heink:

------------------------------ Politicians, like diapers, should be changed often and for the same reason. -uncredited
Reply to Oldmangamer_73
- 0 +

The FDIC doesn't want to insure banks that are going to fail. The FDIC regulations used to be somewhat relaxed. Now they've swung the pendulum to the other side. It stems mostly from the housing collapse, and subsequent mass bank failures.

The banks that were raked over the coals by the new FDIC 'standards,' and couldn't meet them, were taken over by the government, and then bought out by other banks. So the government didn't keep them, if that's where you were going.

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Reply to aford10
- 0 +

Sounds complicated and dodgy.

Wonder how many fewer (but bigger) banks there are now in the US?

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Reply to REYNOD

REYNOD wrote :

Sounds complicated and dodgy.

Wonder how many fewer (but bigger) banks there are now in the US?


We only really have 4 actual major banks now:
Chase
Bank of America
CitiGroup
Wells Fargo

Everything else is small potatoes (in holdings), and all the medium sized banks and investment banks that needed to whore sell themselves off to larger institutions did. There are still a number of smaller midsize banks that compete with credit unions on a more local scale, but even so, most are just trying to stay afloat in the current climate.

http://www.federalreserve.gov/rele [...] efault.htm

------------------------------ "In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act." - George Orwell
Reply to l0ckd0wn

dogman_1234 wrote :

So, can gamer predict this Depression we will have soon?




A plausible scenario of how this could go down dog. http://www.globalresearch.ca/index [...] &aid=28349

Not sure about all the anti-zionist/Israel crap but the economic and financial predictions are pretty accurate if our central banks keep playing games as they have been.

Unrelenting Global Economic Crisis: A Doomsday View of 2012
The economic, political and social outlook for 2012 is profoundly negative



Introduction


The economic, political and social outlook for 2012 is profoundly negative. The almost universal consensus, even among mainstream orthodox economists is pessimistic regarding the world economy. Although, even here, their predictions understate the scope and depth of the crises, there are powerful reasons to believe that beginning in 2012, we are heading toward a steeper decline than what was experienced during the Great Recession of 2008 – 2009. With fewer resources, greater debt and increasing popular resistance to shouldering the burden of saving the capitalist system, the governments cannot bail out the system.

Many of the major institutions and economic relations which were cause and consequence of world and regional capitalist expansion over the past three decades are in the process of disintegration and disarray. The previous economic engines of global expansion, the US and the European Union, have exhausted their potentialities and are in open decline. The new centers of growth, China, India, Brazil, Russia, which for a ‘short decade’ provided a new impetus for world growth have run their course and are de-accelerating rapidly and will continue to do so throughout the new year.

The Collapse of the European Union

Specifically, the crises wracked European Union will break up and the de facto multi-tiered structure will turn into a series of bilateral/multi-lateral trade and investment agreements. Germany , France , the Low and Nordic countries will attempt to weather the downturn. England - namely the City of London, in splendid isolation, will sink into negative growth, its financiers scrambling to find new speculative opportunities among the Gulf petrol-states and other ‘niches’. Eastern and Central Europe, particularly Poland and the Czech Republic , will deepen their ties to Germany but will suffer the consequences of the general decline of world markets. Southern Europe ( Greece , Spain , Portugal and Italy ) will enter into a deep depression as the massive debt payments fueled by savage assaults on wages and social benefits will severely reduce consumer demand.

Depression level unemployment and under-employment running to one-third of the labor force will detonate year-long social conflicts, intensifying into popular uprisings. Eventually a break-up of the European Union is almost inevitable. The euro as a currency of choice will be replaced by or return to national issues accompanied by devaluations and protectionism. Nationalism will be the order of the day. Banks in Germany , France and Switzerland will suffer huge losses on their loans to the South. Major bailouts will become necessary, polarizing German and French societies, between the tax-paying majorities and the bankers. Trade union militancy and rightwing pseudo ‘populism’ (neo-fascism) will intensify the class and national struggles

A depressed, fragmented and polarized Europe will be less likely to join in any Zionist inspired US-Israeli military adventure against Iran (or even Syria ). Crises ridden Europe will oppose Washington ’s confrontationalist approach to Russia and China .

The US : The Recession Returns with a Vengeance

The US economy will suffer the consequences of its ballooning fiscal deficit and will not be able to spend its way out of the world recession of 2012. Nor can it count on ‘exporting’ its way out of negative growth by turning to previously dynamic Asia, as China, India and the rest of Asia are losing economic steam. China will grow far below its 9% moving average. India will decline from 8% to 5% or lower. Moreover, the Obama regime’s military policy of ‘encirclement’, its economic policy of exclusion and protectionism will preclude any new stimulus from China .

Militarism Exacerbates the Economic Downturn

The US and England will be the biggest losers from the Iraqi post war economic reconstruction. Of $186 billion dollars in infrastructure projects, US and UK corporations will gain less than 5% (Financial Times, 12/16/11, p 1 and 3). A similar outcome is likely in Libya and elsewhere. US imperial militarism destroys an adversary, plunging into debt to do so, and non-belligerents reap the lucrative post-war economic reconstruction contracts.

The US economy will fall into recession in 2012 and the “jobless recovery of 2011” will be replaced by a steep increase of unemployment in 2012. In fact, the entire labor force will shrink as people losing their unemployment benefits will fail to register.

Labor exploitation (“productivity”) will intensify as capitalists force workers to produce more, for less pay, thus widening the income gap between wages and profits.

The economic downturn and growth of unemployment will be accompanied by savage cuts in social programs to subsidize financially troubled banks and industries. The debates among the parties will be over how large the cuts to workers and retirees will be to secure the ‘confidence’ of the bondholders. Faced with equally limited political choices, the electorate will react by voting out incumbents, abstaining and via spontaneous and organized mass movements, such as the “occupy Wall Street” protest. Dissatisfaction, hostility and frustration will pervade the culture. Democratic Party demagogues will scapegoat China ; the Republican Party demagogues will blame the immigrants. Both will fulminate against “the Islamo-fascists” and especially against Iran .

New Wars in the Midst of Crises: Zionists Pull the Trigger

The ‘52 Presidents of the Major American Jewish Organizations’ and their “Israel First” followers in the US Congress, State Department, Treasury and the Pentagon will push for war with Iran . If they are successful it will result in a regional conflagration and world depression. Given the extremist Israeli regime’s success in securing blind obedience to its war policies from the US Congress and White House, any doubts about the real possibility of a major catastrophic outcome can be set aside.

China: Compensatory Mechanisms in 2012

China will face the global recession of 2012 with several possibilities of ameliorating its impact. Beijing can shift toward producing goods and services for the 700 million domestic consumers currently out of the economic loop. By increasing wages, social services and environmental safety, China can compensate for the loss of overseas markets. China ’s economic growth, which is largely dependent on real estate speculation, will be adversely affected when the bubble is burst. A sharp downturn will result, leading to job losses, municipal bankruptcies and increased social and class conflicts. This can result in either greater repression or gradual democratization. The outcome will profoundly affect China ’s market - state relations. The economic crisis will likely strengthen state control over the market.

Russia Faces the Crises

Russia ’s election of President Putin will lead to less collaboration in backing US promoted uprisings and sanctions against Russian allies and trading partners. Putin will turn toward greater ties with China and will benefit from the break-up of the EU and the weakening of NATO.

The western media backed opposition will use its financial clout to erode Putin’s image and encourage investment boycotts though they will lose the Presidential elections by a big margin. The world recession will weaken the Russian economy and will force it to choose between greater public ownership or greater dependency on state funds to bail out prominent oligarchs.

The Transition 2011 – 2012: From Regional Stagnation and Recession to World Crises

The year 2011 laid the groundwork for the breakdown of the European Union. The crises began with the demise of the Euro, stagnation in the US and the outbreak of mass protests against the obscene inequalities on a world scale. The events of 2011 were a dress rehearsal for a new year of full scale trade wars between major powers, sharpening inter-imperialist struggles and the likelihood of popular rebellions turning into revolutions. Moreover, the escalation of Zionist orchestrated war fever against Iran in 2011 promises the biggest regional war since the US-Indo-Chinese conflict. The electoral campaigns and outcomes of Presidential elections in the US , Russia and France will deepen the global conflicts and economic crises.

During 2011 the Obama regime announced a policy of military confrontation with Russia and China and policies designed to undermine and degrade China ’s rise as a world economic power. In the face of a deepening economic recession and with the decline of overseas markets, especially in Europe , a major trade war will unfold. Washington will aggressively pursue policies limiting Chinese exports and investments. The White House will escalate its efforts to disrupt China ’s trade and investments in Asia, Africa and elsewhere. We can expect greater US efforts to exploit China ’s internal ethnic and popular conflicts and to increase its military presence off China ’s coastline. A major provocation or fabricated incident in this context is not to be excluded. The result in 2012 could lead to rabid chauvinist calls for a costly new ‘Cold War’. Obama has provided the framework and justification for a large-scale, long-term confrontation with China . This will be seen as a desperate effort to prop up US influence and strategic positions in Asia . The US military “quadrangle of power” – US-Japan-Australia-South Korea – with satellite support from the Philippines , will pit China ’s market ties against Washington ’s military build-up.

Europe: Deeper Austerity and Intensified Class Struggle

The austerity programs imposed in Europe, from England to Latvia to southern Europe will really take hold in 2012. Massive public sector firings and reduced private sector salaries and job opportunities will lead to a year of permanent class warfare and regime challenges. The ‘austerity policies’ in the South, will be accompanied by debt defaults resulting in bank failures in France and Germany . England ’s financial ruling class, isolated from Europe, but dominant in England , will insist that the Conservatives ‘repress’ labor and popular unrest. A new tough neo-Thatcherite style of autocratic rule will emerge; the Labor-trade union opposition will issue empty protests and tighten the leash on the rebellious populace. In a word, the regressive socio-economic policies put in place in 2011 have set the stage for new police-state regimes and more acute and possibly bloody confrontations with workers and unemployed youth with no future.

The Coming Wars that Ends America “As We Know It”

Within the US , Obama has laid the groundwork for a new and bigger war in the Middle East by relocating troops from Iraq and Afghanistan and concentrating them against Iran . To undermine Iran , Washington is expanding clandestine military and civilian operations against Iranian allies in Syria , Pakistan , Venezuela and China . The key to the US and Israeli bellicose strategy toward Iran is a series of wars in neighboring states, world- wide economic sanctions , cyber-attacks aimed at disabling vital industries and clandestine terrorist assassinations of scientists and military officials. The entire push, planning and execution of the US policies leading up to war with Iran can be empirically and without a doubt attributed to the Zionist power configuration occupying strategic positions in the US Administration, mass media and ‘civil society’.

A systematic analysis of American policymakers designing and implementing economic sanctions policy in Congress finds prominent roles for such mega-Zionists (Israel-Firsters) as Ileana Ros-Lehtinen and Howard Berman; in the White House, Dennis Ross in the White House, Jeffrey Feltman in the State Department, and Stuart Levy, and his replacement David Cohen, in the Treasury. The White House is totally beholden to Zionist fund raisers and takes its cue from the ‘52 Presidents of the Major American Jewish Organization. The Israeli-Zionist strategy is to encircle Iran , weaken it economically and attack its military. The Iraq invasion was the US ’s first war for Israel ; the Libyan war the second; the current proxy war against Syria is the third. These wars have destroyed Israel ’s adversaries or are in the process of doing so.

During 2011, economic sanctions, which were designed to create domestic discontent in Iran , were the principle weapon of choice. The global sanctions campaign engaged the entire energies of the major Jewish-Zionist lobbies. They have faced no opposition from the mass media, Congress or the White Office. The Zionist Power Configuration (ZPC) has been virtually exempt from criticism by any of the progressive, leftist and socialist journals, movements or grouplets – with a few notable exceptions. The past year’s re-positioning of US troops from Iraq to the borders of Iran , the sanctions and the rising Big Push from Israel ’s Fifth Column in the US means expanded war in the Middle East . This likely means a “surprise” aerial and maritime missile attack by US forces. This will be based on a concocted pretext of an “imminent nuclear attack” concocted by Israeli Mossad and faithfully transmitted by the ZPC to their lackeys US Congress and White House for consumption and transmission to the world. It will be a destructive, bloody, prolonged war for Israel ; the US will bear the direct military cost by itself and the rest of the world will pay a dear economic price. The Zionist-promoted US war will convert the recession of early 2012 into a major depression by the end of the year and probably provoke mass upheavals.

Conclusion

All indications point to 2012 being a turning point year of unrelenting economic crisis spreading outward from Europe and the US to Asia and its dependencies in Africa and Latin America . The crisis will be truly global. Inter-imperial confrontations and colonial wars will undermine any efforts to ameliorate this crisis. In response, mass movements will emerge moving over time from protests and rebellions, and hopefully to social revolutions and political power.


James Petras is a frequent contributor to Global Research. Global Research Articles by James Petras

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Reply to Oldmangamer_73

Quote :

New Wars in the Midst of Crises: Zionists Pull the Trigger

The ‘52 Presidents of the Major American Jewish Organizations’ and their “Israel First” followers in the US Congress, State Department, Treasury and the Pentagon will push for war with Iran . If they are successful it will result in a regional conflagration and world depression. Given the extremist Israeli regime’s success in securing blind obedience to its war policies from the US Congress and White House, any doubts about the real possibility of a major catastrophic outcome can be set aside.


I don't think this will happen unless Iran attacks Israel or Israel attacks Iran because of their nuclear weapons.

Reply to mjmjpfaff

Here's a red flag! Can't believe I missed this on the 20th.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/45794782

There can be only one reason why they would do this. Anyone venture a guess?

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Reply to Oldmangamer_73

Oldmangamer_73 wrote :

Here's a red flag! Can't believe I missed this on the 20th.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/45794782

There can be only one reason why they would do this. Anyone venture a guess?



1) Commodities fixing in Shanghai for the yuan in china to go up in value over Euro and USD.

2) They like shinny things

3) ????

4) PROFIT?

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Reply to dogman_1234

Something that particular story doesn't say is that the Chinese Central Bank, ie the government has been buying up gold like mad. Now, they are restricting the ownership of gold by individuals.

I remember something similar happening in the 1930's but I can't seem to put my finger on it...................OH YEAH! the government, i mean the central bank, seized all the privately held gold right here in America! Now I remember!!

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Reply to Oldmangamer_73

I would imagine the Depression was the end result, however, I still need to brush up on my history.

We US citizens can still own Gold.

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Reply to dogman_1234

If you do brush up, notice how the "great depression" only affected the United States. The rest of the world was only in recession or a mild depression that was over relatively quickly compared to our great depression which only ended after WWII.

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