I know most info about DX10 cards at this point is conjecture, but work with me for a second and intelligently theorize..........
Alot of people are waiting for the DX10 cards to be released. Now, forget about Vista for just a second..........
With the horsepower the new cards should have, does this mean they'll be able to run circles around the DX9 cards in current DX9 games? For example, a 7900GTX or X1950XTX does a great job overall. Say they can get 100 fps in a certain game with certain settings. Will the new DX10 cards therefore give 200 fps for the same game/settings? Or does performance not translate backwards to DX9?
See, my thinking is if these cards are Porsches on current games, will the new cards be dragsters on non-DX10 games? Ya follow the logic?
In which case, I may save my $$ and blow it all on a DX10 card and stick with what I got for now (7600GT) instead of getting an X1900XT 256 now. The games I play won't have DX10 for awhile, in which case if they destroy the DX9 games I play, then that might be a good investment in the not-too-distant future.
Actually, I don't think the performance jump to DirectX 10 will really mean all that much compared to what the hype says. There will be no magical advantage that a card will have simply by being DirectX 10.
Sure, some have made claims to the unified shader arcitecture... But we've seen from the Xbox 360's R500 that while it does help, it's not a miracle potion... Most games aren't limited by vertex shader power anyway.
And, of course, let's also not forget that it seems vendors are going to pump the prices higher for those top-end-crazy cards. So it's not that the new high-end will be so much greater, perhaps its just that they're adding ANOTHER, even MORE rediculously expensive level above the top one today.
I haven't done a lot of reading this morning, so I could be wrong. I saw the mini article on toms homepage about the news of the 8800. I don't think the 8800/G80 will be that much better at DX9 games. The last rumors I read about it claimed that it was a G70/71 (7900 series card.) with a DX10 GPU slapped onto it. IF the DX10 GPU also works when processing DX9, then it will be faster. By how much I have no idea. But if the DX10 GPU only works when processing DX10, then 8800/G80 should be no faster then current 7900 series cards.
As for R600, it is an entirely different beast. Assuming ATI can get some good drivers out, the USA should make it faster then R580.
I haven't seen any pre-release benchies, so all of this could change.
The DX10 cards will be faster but not by a factor of 2, more like 20-40%.
Depending on the G80 rumour accuracy expect the speed of about a GX2 on a single chip, som about 30% increase over GF7900GTX , and about 15% more than an X1950.
The R600 should see a slight bit more performance boost, because it will get some boost from raw fill rate #s from higher clocks and increased pixel specific throughput. But even then expect similar ~30-40% increase over the X1950.
But even then it's not stratospheric, just what we experience with the R9800 -> X800/GF6800 and GF6800/X850 -> GF7800/X1800 moves.
And as for Unified shader performance, drivers shouldn't be a major issue, it should happen automatically within the chip, like it does for the Xenos/R500, and ATi said that the P/V overhead is now gone too, so multi-stage transformation shouldn't leave context overhead that we were all worried about. So to the driver and app, it should simply appear as P/V initially without worry about optimization, what might be done is to increase flow pre determine ratios, where P = 54 and V = 8 to increase predictability, but even then, that would only be when you knowfor sure that that's beneficial.
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