Sorry. I couldn't resist. This is just too good.
| Quote : My RECOMMENDATION to AMD on strategy
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Such a sound plan. He fails to mention how AMD is supposed to survive selling it's high end kit for $150.
He also fails to realise it's basically impossible for AMD to win a price war against Intel. A significant portion of AMD's CPUs are still 90nm. Intel is 100% 65nm with way more cash in the bank.
Someone send him a link showing Intel and AMDs net asset figures.
Hint: After AMD went out of business with this strategy, Intel could still bleed for another 10 years.
http://finance.google.com/finance?q=amd
Total Current Assets 3,963.00
http://finance.google.com/finance?q=INTC
Total Current Assets 17,795.00
Ive got a better plan:
1)
Only produce the highest clocking processors your manufacturing process can deliver and give them away 4free - 100% MARKET SHARE YA HEARD!
Yeh, thats it.
Does this person realize that Intel has $9 billion dollars in cash and short term cash equivalent? In addition, Intel has only $1.8B in long term debt out of $126B in market cap. The S&P credit rating on Intel is A+.
In contrast, AMD has $1.5B in cash and short term equivalent. It's long term debt is $3.7B out of $7.8B market cap. Nearly 50% of AMD's market cap is long term debt. The S&P credit rating on AMD is B+. AMD bonds are basically junk bonds.
So let's compare:
Cash: Intel > AMD
Leverage: Intel > AMD
Ability to borrow: Intel > AMD
Cost to borrow: Intel > AMD
Let's see, in addition, Intel is now now at 45nm processes, which basically reduces their cost to manufacture a die. So that gives Intel more room to cut prices if they need to compete on price while mainaining profitability. AMD has no such luxury.
How in the world does this person believe that AMD can weather a further reductions to ASP better than Intel? If AMD's market share is still eroding with all those price cuts recently implemented, what makes him think that AMD will gain substantial market share by dumping their processors on the market? Yeah, let's cause Intel to collapse. Nevermind that AMD will collapse well before Intel does, but who cares! That's just a minor technicality. Let's cause AMD to collapse even before it gets a chance to launch Barcelona. Good plan.
| Quote : How in the world does this person believe that AMD can weather a further reductions to ASP better than Intel? If AMD's market share is still eroding with all those price cuts recently implemented, what makes him think that AMD will gain substantial market share by dumping their processors on the market? Yeah, let's cause Intel to collapse. Nevermind that AMD will collapse well before Intel does, but who cares! That's just a minor technicality. |
Welcome to the mind of a fanboy.
"This person" lives in Bizarro World where up is down and down is up... Profit is bad and debt is good... Where you can call yourself a Doctor but be dumber than a keyboard...
| Quote : Sorry. I couldn't resist. This is just too good. |
Such a sound plan. He fails to mention how AMD is supposed to survive selling it's high end kit for $150.
He also fails to realise it's basically impossible for AMD to win a price war against Intel. A significant portion of AMD's CPUs are still 90nm. Intel is 100% 65nm with way more cash in the bank.
Brilliant!
| Quote : Ive got a better plan:
|
That's about as realistic as Sharikou's suggestion.
| Quote : Such a sound plan. He fails to mention how AMD is supposed to survive selling it's high end kit for $150. |
That's what they're doing right now; an X2 4800+ costs $133 from newegg. Not to mention that it costs them no more to make a 4800+ than it does to make a 3600+; the only difference is the clock speed.
EDIT: I'm talking about the 65nm stuff.
| Quote : "This person" lives in Bizarro World where up is down and down is up... Profit is bad and debt is good... |
But isn't that what the businesses/banks want the consumer to believe? 8O
| Quote : "This person" lives in Bizarro World where up is down and down is up... Profit is bad and debt is good... |
But isn't that what the businesses/banks want the consumer to believe? 8O
I should revisit that statement... Profit is bad and deficits are good...
(Since not all debt is bad)
| Quote : That's what they're doing right now; an X2 4800+ costs $133 from newegg. Not to mention that it costs them no more to make a 4800+ than it does to make a 3600+; the only difference is the clock speed.
|
Except the 4800+ isn't the high end...
It was high end. Technically, nothing is high end, except what is coming out in the next 6mo.
| Quote : It was high end. Technically, nothing is high end, except what is coming out in the next 6mo. |
True. I post about there here and now.
I am very glad that Sharikou is behind the wheel of AMD because he would ruin it. This tactic would be what Intel would do to bankrupt AMD, not the other way around. This approach demands that you have much more cash than your competitor and that you will end up with some left when they are bled dry in the price war.
AMD doesn't have much cash and should actually raise their prices a little so that an AMD processor of comparable performance to an Intel CPU will cost roughly the same. Right now, AMD CPUs are a better bang-for-buck at stock clocks than Intel CPUs, so lowering prices further would be absolutely asinine.
I see a method in his madness. If AMD clears out their entire X2 inventory with el cheapo prices, then they would practically put all their eggs in the Barcelona and R600 baskets.
Sharikou
cuckoo, cuckoo, cuckoo
If I were AMD, I'd quietly switch over from making current-gen parts to K10 and not say much about it. That way, people wouldn't say, "Oh, something much better is coming out in a few months, I'll hold off on buying" and leave a bunch of unsold stuff sitting on the shelves. And by the time that the new stuff ships, everything is pretty much converted over to making the new goods and not too much old stock remains. This appears to be what they are doing and it is the right move IMHO. The big price cuts on current-gen stuff would then happen after the new chips ship.
I posted a few comments on his blog. Basically trying to educate the so-called PhD professor...lol
You know he is 16 right?
| Quote : My RECOMMENDATION to AMD on strategy
|
I thought Sharitaki-waki (whatever) predicted Intel will be bankrupt by the end of 2006.
I say AMD should give away their CPUs for free. That way they can capture 100% of the CPU market, thus forcing Intel to shut down production, because Intel cannot compete against that. Meanwhile, AMD can do some creative accounting and cook their books to show a profit.
With some good fake numbers AMD can trick Standard and Poor to increase their credit rating to AAA.
| Quote :
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Exactly what I tought. I mean, we all wish for a stronger AMD and more equal competition between the two contender, but we also all know this is real long term goal. Even if AMD gets a cpu that overperform Intel ones by more then 100%, it wouldn't get anymore than 30% market share, unless the whole cpu market goes down. They just can't produce more then that, plain and simple.
So please, somebody send this guy a rocket so he can get back to Earth, it's urgent!!!!!
| Quote : You know he is 16 right? |
He is?
I figured he suffered from a mental retardation. But yeah, being 16 would explain his reactionary stance.
| Quote : My RECOMMENDATION to AMD on strategy
|
Hahaha, I hope Sharikou's "suggestion" was actually a really bad joke. AMD would be flushed down the toilet in no time, if they actually tried that strategy. Then again, I guess a 16 year-old can be forgiven for such ideas.
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