What HDD's cost 10 years ago...now & future? 1Pb $50? nah...

[eckre]

So rummaging around an old box of junk, I found this receipt dated April
1997, in which I bought a 2.13GB HDD for $265. It was a good deal and just at the sweet spot for HDD's. (at the time)

Now, newegg send me an offer for a 500GB for $119 shipped. This is a good deal at the time as well. I figure it's in the sweet spot. Half as big as they have available now, just as the 2.13GB was half what was out on the market (4BG).

Let's do a little fun math.

In April 1997:
1GB cost $124.41


April 2007
1GB costs $0.238 (522.74X less)

So who knows what the figure will bring... The "sweet spot" in HDD's 10 years later was less than half the price. Even considering inflation, that's pretty good.

So maybe could in another ten years (April 2017 $.000045 (522X less?), If HDD's were $50 the size would be ~1Pb. (~1,098 TB)!

I doubt it, but we'll see -eh? Meet me here in exactly 10 years and we'll find out! It's on my google calendar...

ps. I'm not fishing or trolling for some asinine flammers to point out on how HDD space advances curvilinearly or crap like that. I just found it interesting.

 

[sandmanwn]

its all relative I suppose. a drive back then costs 200+ and essentially the top of the line now still costs 200+.

Not so much the cost of the item but what its worth to the market at that specific time.

 

[neokill3r]

I think that 1PB in 10 years is entirely possible. I just hope they start focusing more on transfer rates and reliabilty instead of just adding more and more space. With the introduction of optical interconnects, the slow tranfers of the drives will become much more apparent. I don't see SSDs ever replacing traditional drives because of the much higher manufacturing cost. I think the future is in holographic storage.

 

[Guest]

but EB and YB are coming soon......Exabyte=1024pb and yotabyte=10E^24....

 

[xanderlane]

4 years from and it's certainly getting there. It might not be less than a hundredth of a penny by then, but I predict it will definitely be less than $0.01/GB in 2017. As of this posting the cheapest hard drive for size is the Seagate ST4000DM000 with 4TBs and $150 at Newegg which is $0.0375; 6x cheaper than your old 500GB hard drive, and 3317.6x cheaper than your extra old 2.13 GB hard drive.

Laptops today generally have 320GBs or 500GBs and the good ones will have 750GBs. Most desktops have 1TB, but there are desktop hard drives with 2 and 3 TBs being sold... just for future reference