Monterey (CA) – At an event held in Monterey today, AMD showed a wafer with “fully functional” 45 nm silicon for the first time.
According to chief technology officer Phil Hester, the 300 mm wafer code-named “Typhoon”, shown in public for the first time today, holds 45 nm dies combining SRAM and logic. The executive said that AMD’s 45 nm process is on track and recent notes from Intel that AMD is facing yield issues “are rubbish” and “wishful thinking on their side”.
The 300 mm wafers with 45 nm structures are expected to ramp in production at the end of 2007. First 45 nm processors are expected to be commercially available by mid of 2007.
More details tome come.
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45nm amd x2's with L3 cache and maybe clocking around 3ghz...*drool* oh yah and of course it'll be 65-89watts.
http://www.intel.com/pressroom/arc [...] 25comp.htm
Intel demoed something similar over 15 months ago.
I'm pretty sure you meant that the first commercially available processors will appear in mid 2008, not 2007. I'm pretty sceptical, as they are showing us a freaking test vehicle. You know a company is desperate when they're showing test vehicles to the public. This is making me wonder if AMD is afraid that Barcelona will be a flop and they will be struggling to get through the year. If you're an AMD fan, this is not cause for celebration. It is cause for worry.
| Quote : http://www.intel.com/pressroom/arc [...] 25comp.htm
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Didn't AMD compete just fine so far, using a higher nm than intel?
This would mean that AMD is slowly catching up...
Or would that be too optimistic?
| Quote : http://www.intel.com/pressroom/arc [...] 25comp.htm
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So this officially confirms that AMD is about 15 months behind Intel on 45 nm. My estimate has been a range 12 to 18 months
My guess they're rushing 45 nm due to Barcelona not good enough to compete with Intel's 45 nm offerings.
Isn't that a cute lil' thing, then?
| Quote : My guess they're rushing 45 nm due to Barcelona not good enough to compete with Intel's 45 nm offerings. |
I disagree, the reason why they would rush it out is to catch up for better yeilds
| Quote : http://www.intel.com/pressroom/arc [...] 25comp.htm
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Didn't AMD compete just fine so far, using a higher nm than intel?
This would mean that AMD is slowly catching up...
Or would that be too optimistic?
Yes..when their microarchitecture was better implemented. We can't say for certain about their newest architecture, but one is inclined to believe it doesn't compete*
* pure speculation based on lack of data.
| Quote : My guess they're rushing 45 nm due to Barcelona not good enough to compete with Intel's 45 nm offerings. |
I disagree, the reason why they would rush it out is to catch up for better yeilds
better yields = higher gross margin %
looking at their Q1 2007 results, AMD needs all the gross margin help it can get!
| Quote : My guess they're rushing 45 nm due to Barcelona not good enough to compete with Intel's 45 nm offerings. |
I disagree, the reason why they would rush it out is to catch up for better yeilds
I think it's more marketing than anything. Intel is ready to ship 45 nm chips, AMD is desperate. A headline like this looks better than "AMD almost ready to produce 45nm". Just a thought.
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Given the AMD typical delays a realistic market entry would be around Q1 2009.
| Quote : http://www.intel.com/pressroom/arc [...] 25comp.htm
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Didn't AMD compete just fine so far, using a higher nm than intel?
This would mean that AMD is slowly catching up...
Or would that be too optimistic?
Not really --- costs wise, Intel has enjoyed the cost advantage significantly, and we see this in the bottom line results of the price war.
Also, you are purporting the same flawed argument seen by most AMD fanatical base -- equating process with performance of an architecture. Performance is based on a combination of both architectural computational efficiency (IPC) as well as clock speed (design + process). Put a crappy architecture (Netburst) on a superior process (Intel's 65 nm) and you will still be strattled with poor IPC.
AMD's current 90 nm is no match for Intel's current 65 nm.... as is their current 65 nm no match for Intel's current 65 nm....
On a node for node basis, Intel's process technology has always exceeded AMD's technology on raw process performance fundamentals... i.e. Vt, Idsat, Idlin, etc.
Jack
Arguably not a match. They do enjoy similarly low power usage, it doesn't clock as high.
But yeah, Intel's process steps are better.
Umm....
If this was a wafer with 45nm "fully functional" die, why didn't they show the actual die in a final package?
I've seen plenty of wafers, and believe me, I can take a picture of a wafer I have in my house, and claim that it's a fully functional whatever.
I guess I just don't see the excitement over showing a wafer with die over an actual product running. Sure, it's 45nm, but again, I can show a wafer and claim the same thing.
| Quote : My guess they're rushing 45 nm due to Barcelona not good enough to compete with Intel's 45 nm offerings. |
I disagree, the reason why they would rush it out is to catch up for better yeilds
better yields = higher gross margin %
looking at their Q1 2007 results, AMD needs all the gross margin help it can get!
BINGO! So them going to 45nm has nothing to do with barcelona's current performance, but rather them being able to keep up in 2007 with intel's gross margins since they can produce cheaper cpus ans yet sell them for what amd will be selling theirs
| Quote : I'm pretty sure you meant that the first commercially available processors will appear in mid 2008, not 2007. I'm pretty sceptical, as they are showing us a freaking test vehicle. You know a company is desperate when they're showing test vehicles to the public. This is making me wonder if AMD is afraid that Barcelona will be a flop and they will be struggling to get through the year. If you're an AMD fan, this is not cause for celebration. It is cause for worry. |
So basically they're damned if they do and damned if they don't?
| Quote : First 45 nm processors are expected to be commercially available by mid of 2007. |
So they will be released before Barcelona?
haha what a huge fail.
EDIT....
Sounds like another annoucement to stop their stock dropping.
Also check the precise wording. I hate to be pedantic but..
| Quote : a wafer with “fully functional” 45 nm silicon for the first time. |
A wafer? Surely you would show a chip. Maybe Jack can clarify, but showing off a wafer doesn't mean anything is functional?
| Quote : the 300 mm wafer code-named “Typhoon”, shown in public for the first time today, holds 45 nm dies combining SRAM and logic. |
So once again they showed a wafer. Was there any proof the components worked?
| Quote : The 300 mm wafers with 45 nm structures are expected to ramp in production at the end of 2007. First 45 nm processors are expected to be commercially available by mid of 2007. |
So they are going into production at the end of the year but available before they go into production.
This is either a huge error on AMD's part or a huge error on toms part. I'm not sure what I which I would prefer it to be.
| Quote : First 45 nm processors are expected to be commercially available by mid of 2007. |
So they will be released before Barcelona?
haha what a huge fail.
Sounds like another annoucement to stop their stock dropping.
Now, that's a misprint, he meant 2008
Uhm.
Almost all the athlon x2 processors currently out there are 90 nm, whereas C2D's are 65 nm.
Only the brisbane is 65 nm, but that one does not even run at the top speeds.
And saying that current AMD 90 nm is no match for current intel 65 nm is an overstatement. AMD has been keeping up with intel fairly well, except in the highest end.
What this means? This means that AMD has been keeping up fairly well, using an older architecture(athlon 64 vs C2D), but also older technology(90 nm vs 65 nm) than what intel is currently using.
AMD is not doing bad at all from what I can see.
Of course the C2D are awesome architecture, and intel does a great job pushing technology to the next stage, but it does seem to me the gap between the two companies is getting less and less all the time.
Of course quite a lot will depend on barcelona.
| Quote : First 45 nm processors are expected to be commercially available by mid of 2007. |
So they will be released before Barcelona?
haha what a huge fail.
Sounds like another annoucement to stop their stock dropping.
Now, that's a misprint, he meant 2008
Okay
Makes more sence now. AMD has been so quiet I was literally waiting for them to surprise us with something huge like this. Maybe not
False, amd also has a single core 65nm line, and don't forget that the amount of 90nm cpus to 65nm cpus isn't as much as it used to be, at least before the 5400-6000 anyways
| Quote : False, amd also has a single core 65nm line, and don't forget that the amount of 90nm cpus to 65nm cpus isn't as much as it used to be, at least before the 5400-6000 anyways |
From what I can see, most is 90 nm at this point.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Athlon_64_X2
But that's because the opterons haven't moved to 65nm yet since amd didn't have any need yet/no money to do so
I'm pretty sure AMD is shipping as many / more 65nm processors now than they are 90nm. Also, 65nm mobile processors are reaching the channel as well.
I know, the 65nm turon is supposed to debut any day now, though they seemed to have taken their sweet time with it
| Quote : I know, the 65nm turon is supposed to debut any day now, though they seemed to have taken their sweet time with it |
It took them a little while to get the process good enough for mobile processors, I assume.
Still, with them being this far behind, you'd think they would be pushing these products out with a few minor bugs then fixing them all with the second revision, almost all companies do that
| Quote : False, amd also has a single core 65nm line, and don't forget that the amount of 90nm cpus to 65nm cpus isn't as much as it used to be, at least before the 5400-6000 anyways |
From what I can see, most is 90 nm at this point.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Athlon_64_X2
well wikipedia isnt the best source for latest tech news. It's a good resource for a lot of things but usually lags behind and even lacks in the specifics that are going on.
| Quote : I know, the 65nm turon is supposed to debut any day now, though they seemed to have taken their sweet time with it |
It took them a little while to get the process good enough for mobile processors, I assume.
Another good logical point. Points like these get us called Intel fanboi's but when you think it through, if Intel are releasing solid tech on the mobile platform (core/penryn), "the sky is the limit" when it comes to desktop.
It reinforces the december 65nm paper launch. Not many processors appeared. The yields were not good enough. Still no 65nm mobile parts.....What do we conclude...? I see the chain as desktop->server->mobile. Mobile being the best quality parts considering the price they are sold and the low voltage they operate at.
I write this from a turion laptop
which is slower then a 2800 barton
Where are the 65nm Opterons?
| Quote : My guess they're rushing 45 nm due to Barcelona not good enough to compete with Intel's 45 nm offerings. |
I disagree, the reason why they would rush it out is to catch up for better yeilds
Nah, not so fast, you can't have yields yet. That 45 nm process isn't really working yet until we see some published benchmarks... Thinking about it now, this is just a wafer and if I had to guess, this is a pure publicity stunt :?
The real significance will be when the dust settles post Barcelona lunch to see how it performs in comparison to C2Q & Penryn. AMD does not have 45 nm toolset, so most likely this is a test chip ran at East Fishkill (IBM). Hector needs all the publicity he can get to slow down the loss of market share. If AMD loses another 3% and more, they will be in real trouble. Once we see barcelona benchmarks, we can tell why this shiny 45 nm wafer was revealed today
I guess I was jumping ahead of myself, but I mean, comeon this could mean AMD's big break because of a HUGE barcelona launch meaning hector wants the public prepared (though he's just an investor now if I recall, not quite ceo anymore), I guess I'm just really hoping amd doesn't go down
| Quote : Where are the 65nm Opterons? |
This is a good question
.... perhaps they cannot get passed the QA for the Opty brand on thier 65 quite yet.
To build on your answer...AMD is in a rather delicate situation. Opteron is AMD's most important product and logically the one they should take the least risk on in order to avoid jeopardizing sales. The last thing they need to do is gamble their flagship processor on a (potentially) unproven and low-yielding process. After all, nVidia and ATi do the exact same thing with their high-end GPUs.
Hey JJ, do you have any numbers, i.e. percentages etc. on those? And isn't IdSat the most important?
That's iffy, but I'd probably say fp, which is most likely why barcelona is so powerful in that portion of computing
| Quote : I guess I was jumping ahead of myself, but I mean, comeon this could mean AMD's big break because of a HUGE barcelona launch meaning hector wants the public prepared (though he's just an investor now if I recall, not quite ceo anymore), I guess I'm just really hoping amd doesn't go down |
Hey Hector still CEO last time I checked
Now back to 45 nm, we have gotten used to fluff press releases from AMD for the past 9 months and they have a serious credibility gap with me. That 45 nm process also will not be competitive with Intel especially with the AMD using immersion lithography vs Intel going with traditional dry. The cost of the tools to run that process is high...Since AMD also has an inferior process to Intel at each node (everyone out there does, Intel simply leads the industry), I suspect they will keep adding more metal layers and their die size will be bigger than Intel's. So I see AMD's cost basis at 45 nm being higher than Intel's. This is one of the many reasons why Intel still makes money even though when they have an inferior chip. We'll see, but I suspect by the time Barcelona hits volume launch, we will see Penryn launching too and from the looks of it I still think AMD will be significantly behind Intel on 45 nm.
There won't be a 65nm Opteron until Barcelona.
| Quote : I've seen plenty of wafers, and believe me, I can take a picture of a wafer I have in my house, and claim that it's a fully functional whatever. |
Awesome! Is it a wafer full of (what would become) QX6800s?
| Quote : Where are the 65nm Opterons? |
This is a good question
.... perhaps they cannot get passed the QA for the Opty brand on thier 65 quite yet.
Maybe they are saving all their 65nm manufacturing capacity for Opteron in favor of Barcelona, so they will achieve a faster ramp after launch, we all know that Opteron is not competitive with Woodcrest ... so why bet on a loosing horse ???
| Quote : Where are the 65nm Opterons? |
They have limited manufacturing capacity anyway so waiting to push all the wafers they can have on Barcelona is not that surprising, for me at least, I figure that they will have some shortages in the beginning with Barcelona and is in their advantage to get as more k10 on the market as they can because this is the only think that’s gonna stop them loosing market share (of course this is all true based on the assumption that Barcelona will kick ass, because if not ... game over
)
| Quote : Where are the 65nm Opterons? |
This is a good question
.... perhaps they cannot get passed the QA for the Opty brand on thier 65 quite yet.
You do you job well JJ, infuse doubt regarding AMD whenever u have the thance, never do that with Intel, always defend Intel when the facts are not correct, you try to do this for AMD but aways with a twist and a "but" somewere, miss key points regarding AMD and aways shift things in Intel's favor no matter what. You have an ridiculouse high post count per day with the overwhelming majotity of posts defending Intel or explaining why Intel is beter. You start postig at first working hours in the morning and sometimes finish posting when working hours are over.
You are just one more example of how low Intel can get.
P.S. Tell me you're not a Intel drone! Please!
You can say whatever you want to say, but the majority of AMD X2 processors out there in shops today is 90nm.
AMD has been competing fairly well with older tech and older design, and is still not very behind intel.
That was my point.
| Quote : clock for clock they are fairly behind. Intel holds a lead per clock at 20-30% for dual cores. and AMD thus far is absent from single unit quads ,pushing product capability up much farther. They are technically 3 yrs behind themselves and 2 yrs behind moores law. |
3 years behind, yet releasing competative products...
| Quote : Where are the 65nm Opterons? |
This is a good question
.... perhaps they cannot get passed the QA for the Opty brand on thier 65 quite yet.
You do you job well JJ, infuse doubt regarding AMD whenever u have the thance, never do that with Intel, always defend Intel when the facts are not correct, you try to do this for AMD but aways with a twist and a "but" somewere, miss key points regarding AMD and aways shift things in Intel's favor no matter what. You have an ridiculouse high post count per day with the overwhelming majotity of posts defending Intel or explaining why Intel is beter. You start postig at first working hours in the morning and sometimes finish posting when working hours are over.
You are just one more example of how low Intel can get.
P.S. Tell me you're not a Intel drone! Please!
Why is it that an AMD supporter, stereotypically, cannot write a coherent argument? To add insult to injury, the grammar and spelling errors force me to ask, are schools teaching spelling anymore?
| Quote : clock for clock they are fairly behind. Intel holds a lead per clock at 20-30% for dual cores. and AMD thus far is absent from single unit quads ,pushing product capability up much farther. They are technically 3 yrs behind themselves and 2 yrs behind moores law. |
Did Intel release C2D three years ago or smtg?
This 3 years behind, 2 in front is total crap. Was Intel in P4 era behind AMD because of lower IPC or in front because of higher frequencies?
Is AMD behind because of production process or is it ahead because of the direct connect arhitecture ?
Will Intel be behind on quadocores because of native quads of is it in front because of MCM?
This behind, in front is just pure maketing crap that some marketing guys have regurgitated and some seem to buy it,.
| Quote : According to moores law then,ok? because by dewds law they should have substantially upped the stakes at 1.5 yrs after athlon 64. |
You are very vague.
Acording to wich Moore's law tha one that says that CPU frequency rougly dobles every 24 months. The reinterpreted law that says processing power doubles every 24 months or the interpretation that says transistor count doubles every 24 months?
Or the dewd moore law that shays AMD should have introduced a new architecture 1.5 years after A64?
Let us ask our selves... does the little girls selling homemade lemonade (amd) make more money or the major corporation selling minutemade lemonade (intel) sell more?? I really think AMD is doing amazing things for the size of their company...
wow... that's very vague....
edited because I thought it was a wrong simile?. haha
I agree with Cryogenic, if you look at the numbers it looks nothing like AMD is even close to 3 years behind...and 4.5 years doesn't make sense.... who rules the low end anyway?? jw? te he
Awesome.I knew AMD had something going on.They are right where they expected to be,maybe even a little earlier than expected.Way to go AMD.C'mon people,show them some support.They've worked their preverbial butts off to keep going,even in the face of such odds as INTEL gives.As far as I'm concerned,they deserve a round of applause for their dedication to us,the gamers and the businesses.Way to go AMD,keep up the good work.
Dahak
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| Quote : Let us ask our selves... does the little girls selling homemade lemonade (amd) make more money or the major corporation selling minutemade lemonade (intel) sell more?? I really think AMD is doing amazing things for the size of their company...
|
K8 came out in april 03 ,desktop parts are due in Q4 07 , so i rounded up but not without due cause considering all the delays.
Rougly 2 years after A64 AMD introduced X2 isn't that raising the stakes?
| Quote : Where are the 65nm Opterons? |
Why go throught the trouble of ramping 65nm Opterons when Barcelona will be the majority of shipments by next year?
The 90nm versions have hit 3GHz and they can now stop making the ones below 2.4GHz. Not that they will, though.
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