Help pick out new video card $100-200

Hey I'm trying to pick out a new video card to put in my new pc so far i have 5 video cards in mind that are in the $100-200 range. I'm trying to keep it low because i don't have that much money to spend on it. If there are any other cards that you would recommend that aren't on the list please feel free to do that but give a explanation to why you picked that card. (ill be playing games like age of conan and crysis)

http://www.newegg.com/Product/Prod [...] 6814103050
( DIAMOND Viper 3870PE4512SB Radeon HD $140 AR)

http://www.newegg.com/Product/Prod [...] 6814127329
( MSI NX8800GT 512M OC GeForce 8800 GT $175)

http://www.newegg.com/Product/Prod [...] 6814130318
( EVGA 512-P3-N801-AR GeForce 8800 GT $160 AR)

http://www.newegg.com/Product/Prod [...] 6814136021
( ZOGIS ZO88GT-E GeForce 8800 GT $170 AR)

http://www.newegg.com/Product/Prod [...] 6814500006
( ZOTAC ZT-88TES3P-FCP GeForce 8800 GT $140 AR)

I'm thinking of those you've got posted I'd grab either the Zotac 8800gt overclocked version, or the overclocked MSI 8800gt overclocked version as well. Looks like the Zotac would be the faster card, but depends how much you really want to spend.

The HD3870 is slightly better when AA is not enabled. The 8800GT is slightly better when AA is enabled. I'd probably recommend the 3870 at higher resolutions since it is the cheapest card. But it's also a dual slot solution. If you really need a single slot solution, I'd get EVGA's 8800GT for their lifetime warranty and step-up program. That's what I'd recommend out of the selections you had.

Personally, I'd wait for the 4850's as they are priced right under $200. Actually Tom's Hardware has an article about Amazon accidently posting the 4850 early at $199.99 or $198.99. And from the other things I've read, it's a beast at the $200 pricepoint. I think it would be the money better spent.