rhamutap :
You speak in a very matter of fact sense, which is fine, but you need to be aware that all of your proclamations are not fact . I was simply stating that you cannot know these things until they happen. There is no way you can even be 100% sure it will not be about styling the hair of pink horses nor 100% certain it will support a mouse. So please accept this and move on.
There is nothing to accept son. I understand that you may not have much education in numbers, but you have to realise that 100% is not the same as 100.00000000000%. To state that something is 100% merely means that it is close. Without stating the precision it is implied that I could in fact mean 99.5% as 100% = 99.5% if one were to round like a sensible individual.
You may believe that the chances of X happening are less than what I think, that is fine, but I do no believe they are certain. I merely believe that within all reason it is a waste of my time to type out that I believe a situation is actually more likely 99.9999999999999% sure (or whatever). It is you, Mr Pedant, which cannot grasp the concept. But maybe you can, and you are just an ass, but I'm game.
I must point out that it is you that speaks in such a matter of fact way. It is obvious that to some degree no one can be certain about anything. Yet rather than accepting rounding you lambast on about how I am wrong. I’d like to know how I could be right, as I have argued with people like you many times before, obviously I cannot be right. I could claim to a billion decimal places how I see the probability of a situation arising, and there are an infinite number I would have to leave out for you to complain about how I can’t know for sure I am right, the actual value might be different.
Let me ask, what is the value of pi? Certainly it is not 3.14, as that is saying it is 3.14000 which is not the same as 3.14159. Do they not teach uncertainty in school anymore?
If you wish to have a real conversation on the lines of "Hey, I think the odds of it supporting a mouse are only 80%." Then do that so I can make more of a fool out of you. But that is not what you were on about; instead you blast nonsense because you fail to grasp simple logic and how numbers are represented. 100% does not mean certain, it just means close to certain. Does the fact that the sky is transparent and not actually truly blue keep you from calling it blue when someone asks? Do you insist on explaining that the particles in the air cause Rayleigh scattering to make it appear as it does? Nothing is what it seems, therefore beauty does not exist?
100 = 99.5
100.0 <> 99.5
100.0 = 99.95
Do we understand now?
I am well and aware that there is no situation one can think of that could not, in theory, have a finite probability placed on it. Thus, the way you argue I can only assume that you absolutely never use 100% in any aspect of your life. As it clearly indicates absolute certainty, and since nothing can be absolutely certain in a seemingly quantum universe the entire term should be stricken from our common knowledge. So from now on everyone must be able to produce at least infinite precision in their numerical representation, if they cannot we have to kick them off the internet, as that is the rational thing to do. In fact, unless one can present a number to infinite precision we should just kill them, lest they fill our heads with the notion that effectively impossible things are actually truly impossible. That would be worse than famine, obviously.
What is fact? I could just as easily come up with some rediculous situation for absolutely any fact you give me nomatter how unrealistic, to show how you are therefor not sure. Must we also avoid ever using the word fact? Even in math, as our understanding that 2+2=4 is based only on our acceptance that we use a particular number base, and is only a set of rules we created to try to explain the universe. It is only a fact on paper, in the confines of pure number theory which is, afterall, just a model. So I suppose that a fact is something that only ever exists in the confines of a pre determined model? You best be careful using that term too, the thought police are out in force.