If there is any truth to <A HREF="http://www.tomshardware.com/hardnews/20050411_132505.html" target="_new"> this article </A>, I'd say you the future for intel cpu's looks bleak. For the next 12 months, they will be stuck @3.2 GHz for smithfield, 3.4 for the EE, and Yonah, will not increase clockspeeds beyond what current Dothans offer (ie 2.16 GHz) either.
On the ultra high end (desktop), Pentium D EE 3.4 should save intel some face in benchmarketing, but if AMD does indeed pull a 2.4 GHz dual core A64 out of its hat, even the EE will be beaten silly on just about every app out there. Not that anyone really cares about either chip though.
On the high end, Intel is going to be beaten silly on gaming benchmarks and other single threaded code, while most likely making a very good show on multithreaded, multimedia benchies. Pretty much as has been for a while, only with larger differences in both. If/when AMD does release lower clocked DC chips (1.8-2.2), which I doubt until 65nm, Intel will most likely be trounced in just about any benchmark here again.
In the mobile market, Dothan currently reigns supreme, but most likely will not improve much until Yonah shows up. How Turion pans out on 90nm is anyone's guess; mine is it will be pretty close performance wise, TDP wise, but have less real world battery life. OTOH, it will be 64 bit enabled, not a bad trumph once windows64 is upon us, and easier to market than improved battery life.
Once Yonah ships next year, intel will have a very marketable advantage (dual core), but this chip will by that time be a pretty poor single threaded performer (still being at <=2.16 GHz), and just as poor running multithreaded code batteries, 32 bit only and with a not so terribly low TDP, hardly an option for thin and light. Not my idea of an Uberchip.
On the server front, thinks look worst of all; with no dual core Xeons scheduled for this year, intel is going to hurt seriously. Opterons already pretty much outperform Xeons in most configurations, only IBMs ultra expensive X3 chipset saves them some face in the 4 way market. Dual core will add over this, an enormous advantage, either performance wise per socket, or price wise, offering 4 core opteron systems for prices only a fraction (<1/3!) of otherwise comparable 4 core Xeon systems. Not too mention if single core opterons will gain a huge advantage: upgradeability. Don't underestimate that, many 4 way servers are purchased with just 2 cpu's, only to be able to add 2 more later on. Consider 4 way "ready" systems easily cost 3x as much as comparable 2 way only systems, so upgradeability is worth quite a few bucks here.
I don't know if there are any intel investors on this board, but I would consider getting rid of their stock right now.
= The views stated herein are my personal views, and not necessarily the views of my wife. =
On the ultra high end (desktop), Pentium D EE 3.4 should save intel some face in benchmarketing, but if AMD does indeed pull a 2.4 GHz dual core A64 out of its hat, even the EE will be beaten silly on just about every app out there. Not that anyone really cares about either chip though.
On the high end, Intel is going to be beaten silly on gaming benchmarks and other single threaded code, while most likely making a very good show on multithreaded, multimedia benchies. Pretty much as has been for a while, only with larger differences in both. If/when AMD does release lower clocked DC chips (1.8-2.2), which I doubt until 65nm, Intel will most likely be trounced in just about any benchmark here again.
In the mobile market, Dothan currently reigns supreme, but most likely will not improve much until Yonah shows up. How Turion pans out on 90nm is anyone's guess; mine is it will be pretty close performance wise, TDP wise, but have less real world battery life. OTOH, it will be 64 bit enabled, not a bad trumph once windows64 is upon us, and easier to market than improved battery life.
Once Yonah ships next year, intel will have a very marketable advantage (dual core), but this chip will by that time be a pretty poor single threaded performer (still being at <=2.16 GHz), and just as poor running multithreaded code batteries, 32 bit only and with a not so terribly low TDP, hardly an option for thin and light. Not my idea of an Uberchip.
On the server front, thinks look worst of all; with no dual core Xeons scheduled for this year, intel is going to hurt seriously. Opterons already pretty much outperform Xeons in most configurations, only IBMs ultra expensive X3 chipset saves them some face in the 4 way market. Dual core will add over this, an enormous advantage, either performance wise per socket, or price wise, offering 4 core opteron systems for prices only a fraction (<1/3!) of otherwise comparable 4 core Xeon systems. Not too mention if single core opterons will gain a huge advantage: upgradeability. Don't underestimate that, many 4 way servers are purchased with just 2 cpu's, only to be able to add 2 more later on. Consider 4 way "ready" systems easily cost 3x as much as comparable 2 way only systems, so upgradeability is worth quite a few bucks here.
I don't know if there are any intel investors on this board, but I would consider getting rid of their stock right now.
= The views stated herein are my personal views, and not necessarily the views of my wife. =