I more or less agree with most of P4man's views, but I see a slightly different direction in the path that these things will take.
The way I invision the future, Apple will likely drop being a Mac OEM and just license the Mac brand to someone(s) because they're already making crap as a PC OEM anyway, so best to ditch a failing effort, especially if you can make licensing money on it by ditching it.
That'll let Apple concentrate more on software. Because Mac already has a lot of good commercial software and a fair ammount of PC software (especially game) ports, the Mac OS is a lot stronger than BeOS, OS/2, Amiga OS, and all those others who have failed. In fact, IMHO it's even a stronger OS to consumers than Linux.
So back to the $1M question, will Apple try to protect their brand name by requiring a special hardware key to install unhacked versions of Mactel OS X, or will Apple unchain the Mactel OS X to become a real Windows competitor?
If the former, the Apple brand will probably be like it always has been, a niche. And it will probably survive as such, more by luck and enthusiasts than by any real sense.
If the latter, Mactel OS X will probably be the first OS to give Windows a decent run, mostly because it'll have a noticable chunk of consumer software to appease the masses. (It'll even have a real version of MS Office.)
Obviously, I'd much prefer the latter as an outcome because someone needs to smack MS around a bit and finally get them off of their high horse.
But either way, someone, somewhere, will find a way to put Mactel OS X onto normal PCs anyway. So PC enthusiasts who are tired of Windows will still win anyway.
Of course the real losers are the Mac enthusiasts. (What's new there?) Besides having just been given heart attacks, they'll also have to buy all new softwares, if not to run at all, then at least to get the full speed out of them. But then most Mac customers are probably already used to <i>that</i>. **ROFL** I think the Apple litany is "Buy new software. Buy new software. Buy new software."
<pre><font color=orange><i>Jesters do oft prove prophets.</i> -Regan in
King Lear (Act V, Scene iii) by William Shakespear</font color=orange></pre><p>@ 189K -> 200,000 miles or bust!