LOW COST 10GHZ CHIPS?!?!?!

yeah... in 5 to 10 years according to press release... Intel said the same thing last week...
Wasn't that expected?
We came from 10Mhz to 1000Mhz in 20 years -- a 100 times increase. Why are you surprised that we'd make another 10 times increase in another decade? I'm puzzled...

Even less reason to be surprised by IBM's announcement
However, I think 4 years to 10Ghz is a bit optimistic... I think 6-8 years is more likely... these things get harder as they get smaller... every now and then they hit a limit when they have to invent new technologies to break a size barrier -- and those breakthroughs are not as easily predictable as simple refining of existing process... but I think one of those board frequenters who work at AMD/Intel/IBM/wherever could clue us in a wee bit more

(not to say it wouldn't be kool to have 10Ghz machine in 3-4 years, but come on, then my current purchase of 1Gig machine is just gonna make me foolish

(then again, my 233Mhz purchase 2.5 years ago is just as foolish too

10 GHz is cool! but i dont think they will be in the market even 10 yrs down the line. i read intel working on 0.13 micron and 0.07 micron process and chips working at less than 1 V. it would need new materials and new processes to make those, and i dont see >5GHz before 2006, five years since now! 10 GHz might take twice as long!!

girish

the .13 micron will be a copper-process.
IMO 5Ghz will launch before 2004.
do you still remember the proc. speed at the beginning of this year?

i think the system bus speed should have a <b>MAJOR</b> improvement before the 10Ghz era arrives. (no RDRAM pls.!!)

<font color=orange>What do you think? </font color=orange>

Now lets not forget about quantum computers. IBM displayed a working 5 qubit (quantum bit) quantum computer last August. They are expected to hit consumer markets in the next ten years. A quantum computer could beat the hell out of any silicon computer. They are expected to eventually be millions of times more powerful than silicon computers.

Oh ya an Official Intel press release stated that we will see 12GHZ by 2006.
But memory technology will really have to pick up or their
high MHZ processors will be redundant.
Thats why they want to invest more in memory technologys.

Why would AMD followers be crying about Intel's prices? We dont' care, we're not the ones buying Intel's stuff. We're actually happy because more people buy AMD. It's better for us.

the release read 0.03 micron and not 0.003 microns. they might make processors with 0.13 or 0.07 microns in 5 years but I doubt they will run a 5 GHz or more. realistically, 2-3 GHz is what I expect. It might take more than 10-12 years for a 10 GHz+ processor to come. The technology might not use aluminium or copper interconnects, it might use a newer material than silicon (like the GaAs Gallium Arsenide).

It will take a lot of time.

girish

hope so!
but dont try to pull the graph along a straight line!!!!!
current technology is near saturation, and new one is needed.
i would be happy to be embarrassed by 2011 if I have a 12 GHz computer on my desk!

girish