Hmm yeah now that you mention it, the K6-2 ended at 500 MHZ IIRC, and Athlon took from there but with substantially more performance than any processor out.
yes historically speaking, all new chip releases have performed about the same as the fastest previous generation chip.( the p4 as well, the 1.4ghz p4 was pretty close to the 1ghz p3, although in some apps it lost quite badly).
The reason the hammer announcement made everyone go wow, is for some reason no one realized that a .13 micron shrink would allow the axp to scale to near pr3400 speeds(it was very funny to me when I posted my statement about clockspeed scaling, how many people rejected it out of hand based on little or no evidence to the contrary).
The axp should, if amd gets its way, be released at a final 2500-2600+ speed which will be even or close to even to the p4 at the time. Then comes hammer, if amd pushes intel too hard, they could accelerate the northwoods deployment, and with the 533fsb that would not be a good thing for amd, causing amd to devote resourses to releasing axps which will compete.(which while possible, would be costly lowering amds asp).
So, depending on intel, the axp can scale to ~2600 ish and then we have a huge performance leap to 3400 for the hammer, OR, the axp will scale to 2800-3200 and we have a performance gain, but not huge, from the hammers release which will then begin its ramping.
We will see.
Regardless, the overclocking community will do very well with the tbred, the 1800+ should overclock something fierce.
"The Cash Left In My Pocket,The BEST Benchmark"
No Overclock+stock hsf=GOOD!