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Spinoff from the recent thread on fudging. An example from MC.
A group of 4 3rd-level PCs are exploring a foggy battlefield at night.
They reasonably expect undead and are appropriately prepared; one
character has Detect Undead turned on and is concentrating.
I've already decided that they'll get a random encounter roll every
half hour, and have prepared a chart of appropriate CR encounters.
Sure enough, I roll a random encounter: 1d3 ghouls. Roll a 3. Three
ghouls. Okay.
I decide there's a 50% chance the Detect Undead will pick them up.
(It's a cone-shaped emanation, and they could be off to one side.) I
roll and it doesn't. I have the ghouls Hiding in the fog. Roll
opposed Spot and Hide checks. One PC (the cleric) spots the ghouls,
the others not. All the ghouls beat the cleric on initiative, though,
so we have a surprise round where the ghouls go first.
The ghouls charge and attack three PCs. All three are hit. Two fail
their saves and are paralyzed... including the cleric. Whoops.
First normal round, the free PCs roll badly on initiative. The ghouls
attack again. A third PC is paralyzed. Uh oh.
The fourth PC, a fighter, stands his ground and hits one ghoul,
injuring but not killing it.
Now what?
A 3rd level fighter has a less-than-even chance of killing three ghouls
before being chewed to pieces. (Without the ghouls' paralysis power,
it's about an even match, but the fighter will probably have to make
6-8 saving throws in a row without failing once. His odds of doing
this once are about 0.8, but six times = 0.8^6, or about 26%. Add to
that the ghouls' roughly even chance of ripping him up in straight
combat -- they're smart enough to flank him -- and we have a ~90%
chance of TPK on a stupid random encounter.
My problem with this is that the PCs haven't done anything wrong. If
they'd been stupid... but they haven't. (Unless you count the fighter
staying to fight, when he rationally ought to run. But that's still a
75% PK.) It's pure bad luck. So I'm a bit reluctant to kill them
here.
I know what I did, but what would you do IYC? I'm curious.
Waldo
Spinoff from the recent thread on fudging. An example from MC.
A group of 4 3rd-level PCs are exploring a foggy battlefield at night.
They reasonably expect undead and are appropriately prepared; one
character has Detect Undead turned on and is concentrating.
I've already decided that they'll get a random encounter roll every
half hour, and have prepared a chart of appropriate CR encounters.
Sure enough, I roll a random encounter: 1d3 ghouls. Roll a 3. Three
ghouls. Okay.
I decide there's a 50% chance the Detect Undead will pick them up.
(It's a cone-shaped emanation, and they could be off to one side.) I
roll and it doesn't. I have the ghouls Hiding in the fog. Roll
opposed Spot and Hide checks. One PC (the cleric) spots the ghouls,
the others not. All the ghouls beat the cleric on initiative, though,
so we have a surprise round where the ghouls go first.
The ghouls charge and attack three PCs. All three are hit. Two fail
their saves and are paralyzed... including the cleric. Whoops.
First normal round, the free PCs roll badly on initiative. The ghouls
attack again. A third PC is paralyzed. Uh oh.
The fourth PC, a fighter, stands his ground and hits one ghoul,
injuring but not killing it.
Now what?
A 3rd level fighter has a less-than-even chance of killing three ghouls
before being chewed to pieces. (Without the ghouls' paralysis power,
it's about an even match, but the fighter will probably have to make
6-8 saving throws in a row without failing once. His odds of doing
this once are about 0.8, but six times = 0.8^6, or about 26%. Add to
that the ghouls' roughly even chance of ripping him up in straight
combat -- they're smart enough to flank him -- and we have a ~90%
chance of TPK on a stupid random encounter.
My problem with this is that the PCs haven't done anything wrong. If
they'd been stupid... but they haven't. (Unless you count the fighter
staying to fight, when he rationally ought to run. But that's still a
75% PK.) It's pure bad luck. So I'm a bit reluctant to kill them
here.
I know what I did, but what would you do IYC? I'm curious.
Waldo