My semi-random thoughts:
* AMD is struggling. This is nothing new for them though. Hopefully they will either survive by holding on, or drop down for a while and then pick up again with a new killer processor. (Much like they did with the Athlon.)
* Intel is trying so very hard not to crush AMD that it is laughable. Intel really doesn't want to be the only kid on the block still playing, but AMD is making it hard on them. I think Intel will do their best to keep AMD from dying because they need the competition to avoid looking like a monopoly.
* The Hammers are looking less and less impressive every time I see new benchmarks leaked. Hopefully AMD manages to get them out before they screw things up entirely.
* I still don't trust the future scalability of DDR SDRAM. It's just too noisy and has too many data paths.
* I still am not very fond of RDRAM either. It has a bad latency and was designed for high bandwidth, which is something that processors just don't need to be <i>that</i> scalable. No P4 is going to need the bandwidth of dual-channel 64-bit PC1200 RDRAM.
* Home Internet Appliances and other such niche markets are never going to 'save' the PC market. Hardly anyone uses them even though processors are already more than fast enough to make them. Heck, my 133MHz Pentium surfed the web beautifully and was whisper-silent.
* What <b>will</b> save the PC market is DX9 games. No matter how many people hate to admit it, it is games that drive people to upgrade their PCs. After all, I can run Word, Excel, Internet Explorer, WinAmp, and even Visual Studio quite nicely on my Celeron 500MHz. There hasn't been a reason to ugprade to a new PC for apps like that in <b>years</b>.
However, if people start releasing games that look oh so sweet but need an uber-processor and ultra-graphics card just to run, people <i>will</i> go out and get those things to play those games. There just has to reach a critical mass of games that <i>require</i> this before it will happen. Since most DX8 game developers write their games to run on DX7 systems (and sometimes even less) by disabling some of the effects and offering lower quality graphics, no one has actually needed to upgrade just to play a game.
Yet develop just fifteen awesome looking games (that look like Doom3's graphics) that flat out <b>require</b> a DX9 card and a P4 2GHz/AXP2000+ or higher and you'll see a swarm of upgrades in just six months and in a year the PC industry will be booming again. It may be stupid, but that is what is <i>really</i> needed to save the PC industry from the funk it is currently in.
* Do PCs need to be faster? No. Do we want them to be faster anyway? <b>HELL YES!!!</b>
We could all drive Yugos. Yet we still lust after Audi, BMW, Mercedes, etc. And we still purchase as nice of a car as we can possible afford. (And sometimes more than we can actually afford.) Why? Because human nature isn't to buy just what we need to get by. Human nature is to buy what we think will make us feel happy, proud, and cool. And darn it, we <i>deserve</i> to feel good about our purchases.
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