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AMD asks to double common stock to 1.5 billion shares - Page 3

Forum CPU & Components : CPUs - AMD asks to double common stock to 1.5 billion shares

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Question is will it be over time as a margins accentuation or all at once as a huge plunge?


Ride AMD short,a one day crash at 7dollars is pretty nice. :wink:



Well, after much thinking, I decided to put in a sell order. Only got $14.18 and will take a $2200 loss, but I decided that's better than hanging on and taking a worse loss. It also gives me the option of buying back in with the same amount of money later if the stock drops far enough to interest my gambling fever again.

Yeah, it drops to $7. Then I can buy back and double my holdings and if K8L, etc do well, I ride it up and make a fortune, less the $2200 loss of course. Of course, if the price goes up a bunch tomorrow, I'll be kicking myself.

Reply to Sailer
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I guess Jack likes babes. :wink:

Reply to corvetteguy
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If they dont sell them,then your right, it wont reflect on stock prices at all, except where it counts, in investor trust. But the only reasonto issue that many stocks, is to sale them. Im gunna ignore your flames, and just point out the obviouse...if AMD was doing well, they wouldnt be doing this..if they didnt have more bills going out, then in, they wouldnt be doing this, IF they werent worried about meeting all those loan payments, that they know they cant afford, then they wouldnt be doing this. Its math, everyday, there value drops just a little, every day, the price of their stock drops alittle, and every day, creditors are thinking about all those multibillion dollar loans...AMD is a company that is worth more in peices, then whole, if broken up, the peices would be worth almost double the value of the whole...and everyone knows this..AMD is going to issue those stocks, and on may 16, then will sale them. Before the new nvidia cards can hurt them more, before the midyear benchmarks for penryn can cripple them, they will sale them all, and if they are smart, they will pay the loans off in full, and take the lean months ahead, but more likely a partial payment and a prayer for fair weather ahead.

Reply to jackxlj
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Quote :

I guess Jack likes babes. :wink:



Speaking of which, it'll be his 1st birthday on the TH forums on Thursday.

I'll say it now 'cos I'll probably forget later.

Happy Birthday Jack, and may you average over 22 posts a day for yet another year.

Reply to r0x0r
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[
Did I read right, you just had a baby???

Massive, uncontrollable, humongous, sincere and heartfelt congratulations.

jack



Thanks!

She's 7 weeks old now, but I'll tell ya, she still incredibly new to me!

Reply to halbhh

You are aware that Greenspan is not in office, right? He needs to shut-up and just go away at this point.

Reply to bydesign
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Quote :

You are aware that Greenspan is not in office, right? He needs to shut-up and just go away at this point.


lol,who are you talking to?

Reply to jackxlj
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Quote :

[
Did I read right, you just had a baby???

Massive, uncontrollable, humongous, sincere and heartfelt congratulations.

jack



Thanks!

She's 7 weeks old now, but I'll tell ya, she still incredibly new to me!

Congrats with the baby! now you have the chance to bring her up right, teaching the important words; like video card, cpu, motherboard, etc. I can see it now, the kid's first kindergarten project, building a computer, to the amazement of the other kids and the teacher.

Reply to Sailer
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jack just got himself a brand new baby off the shelf I heard its got incredible upgrade capability.



He'd better hope it's the silent version!

Congrats on the new arrival halbhh. Just remember: You can't use Norton if she gets a virus :roll: :wink:

Reply to r0x0r
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Quote :

You are aware that Greenspan is not in office, right? He needs to shut-up and just go away at this point.



Even though this made absolutely no sense at all, your avatar still kicks arse (rotor fan here) :wink:

Reply to r0x0r
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Quote :

Question is will it be over time as a margins accentuation or all at once as a huge plunge?


Ride AMD short,a one day crash at 7dollars is pretty nice. :wink:



Well, after much thinking, I decided to put in a sell order. Only got $14.18 and will take a $2200 loss, but I decided that's better than hanging on and taking a worse loss. It also gives me the option of buying back in with the same amount of money later if the stock drops far enough to interest my gambling fever again.

Yeah, it drops to $7. Then I can buy back and double my holdings and if K8L, etc do well, I ride it up and make a fortune, less the $2200 loss of course. Of course, if the price goes up a bunch tomorrow, I'll be kicking myself.

Did you ask what the deal was with AMD from a broker? Seriously sailer its good to find out the ins and outs before you do this selling thing.and it wont be till after the SEC decides to allow it that anything major happens.

Its safe to assume monday will dive like mad from selling,also if the sec ruling hits investors acrossed the board shortselling becomes profitable in the morning.

Call a broker in the morning and dig for info,If selling goes rampant it could cause a shortselling reaction as is usually the case and in options if youre willing to play by the minute,your loss becomes a gain on short selling.
Need more info before you do anything.But I cant disagree with the action,as I would likely cut at a lower loss as well,but I would likely have sold after the delays when stocks were slightly above 15 after your 14.60 buy in.Alot of volume will change hands monday.

My broker doesn't have any advice. He says he doesn't know what to think except the stock is likely to take a bad hit tomorrow. He also isn't sure what the market in general will do through the week, but that the AMD was my weakest position by far. He said to hold everything else. maybe I'll catch a wild swing down and buy back in. Don't know. Maybe I'll take a walk into the desert and talk to some coyotes. They might know more then I do.


My kid said sell and get out while I have the chance. He and I both got thrashed the past week in our portfolioes, but we're holding on to everything else. He thinks I should take the money and invest in some other stock completely. I should have sold a few days ago, but hindsight is perfect, isn't it? Of course, I know tomorrow is a gamble and I may have taken the wrong side of it. Can only wait and see.

Reply to Sailer

Quote :

Why do you insist on the nVidia-AMD buyout?


Agreed. A massive pain for Nvidia due to ATi.
IBM buying AMD? Anyone ever heard of Lenevo?
Oh yes, ATi also make the Wii GPU, and we all know how well that is selling :P
When AMD bought ATi, it has $2.6B cash on hand. Subtracting $0.6B debt, AMD still has $2B to buy ATi.

Now nVidia has only about $1B cash on hand. AMD now has a long-term debt of about $3.5B. It just does not make sense.

I don't know what will happen in the future. But now I would say that insisting nVidia may buy AMD is naive. :wink:

Reply to qcmadness
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I don't know what will happen in the future. But now I would say that insisting nVidia may buy AMD is naive. :wink:



For sure; it would be more feasible (but highly unlikely) that Microsoft is going to buy AMD so that they also have a PC harware division.

The Microsoft Radeon... Nup, doesn't work for me.

Ah, I love making up "what if" scenarios.

Reply to r0x0r
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Thanks guys. I've already gotten her started early. Some nights this time she doesn't go to sleep, and then her mom puts her in my arms, while I try to type messages and play chess, and read articles. She stares at the LCD until she falls asleep. :)

Reply to halbhh
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Yeah, she's the first, and it's pretty amazing to me, especially when she smiles at me.

Reply to halbhh
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Quote :

Thanks guys. I've already gotten her started early. Some nights this time she doesn't go to sleep, and then her mom puts her in my arms, while I try to type messages and play chess, and read articles. She stares at the LCD until she falls asleep. :)



Teacher: What's your New Year's resolution?
Your daughter: 2560x1600.

:wink:

Reply to r0x0r

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well your broker get paid to know so id do as you are doing and hold off on getting back in till the sec decides on the new shares



While I don't disagree with your speculations regarding how these shares will be used, there is no SEC approval required to simply boost the total number of shares authorized. An SEC filing is really only required to issue shares and they don't really "approve" the shares even then, they only validate that all due diligence has been done and the shareholder vote was held and is valid.

Unless you mean Shareholder approval (as opposed to SEC approval). In that case, yes, this whole thing could swing on the vote. But at the end of the day, I think most shareholders see that paying down debt, offering options to employee's so they can keep building the next great CPU and building a warchest for the future may eat into equity in the short term, but are necessary for any chance of future return.

So I think the vote will pass easily. I have no idea what the institutional holdings are for AMD, but I KNOW those guys are reading the papers. And they have seen this done a thousand times and they have seen it work as well.

I hope it does work, personally.

Reply to lance525
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If stocks return to current levels by years end you will have done pretty well.Options shortselling is risky as hell with AMD but you are looking at a big pip spread on monday going down,so a block may pay off nicely with shortselling;but that is some serious gambling.



While I was typing all this in, the words of an old Kenny Rogers song came to mind,"you got to know when to hold em, know when to fold em. Know when to walk away, know when to run". Well, tonight I folded. Tomorrow will be another day for gambling.

Reply to Sailer
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AMD had more cash on hand, but les credit value. Nvidia has an a+ rateing, AMD has never had better then a B at best. Nvidia also needs a license to make x86 chips. Look deeper into Nvidia, that have 1bill on hand, simple becouse they reinvest so much of it. Look at the income they are produceing. If they bought AMD for 7 bill, they could get 2.5 b for ati. in q3 Nvidia made 820 mil. thats almost 1bill, and they did it in one quarter. http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoeni [...] highlight=
true,thats revenue, and discounting what they make off of stock ownerships,and intrest in banks and such, lowers that alot, but just look at the record. They are a company on the movie, they have never, I repeat NEVER, has Nvidia shown a loss, they had the loan they took with BoA for startup costs paid off in 4 years, and it was a 15 year loan, when they expanded in '99 they took another loan, and paid it off in 3. If Nvidia wants AMD, BoA will write the check, even if they think its a bad move, they will write it, simply becouse Nvidia has proven that they will pay back what they owe, and before its due.

Reply to jackxlj
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Yeah, she's the first, and it's pretty amazing to me, especially when she smiles at me.



The smile get's ya every time doesn't it.... more powerful than a locomotive -- becareful, she will learn quickly to get what she wants all she has to do is smile and let out a little giggle.

heh heh. A friend's wife says she'll be a little princess.

Reply to halbhh
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again, just a few days till we know,but until then, AMD stock is going to plummet

Reply to jackxlj

I beg to differ again. If shareholders approve the authorization, they give the board all the approval they need to do whatever they want (legally) with the shares. Just as the SEC does not have to approve borrowings by corporations, which also affect shareholder equity, they don't have to approve stock offerings, as long as all due diligence is done.

Reply to lance525
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hmmm, the SEC can stop a company from issueing more stocks at a given time, if they think the company may be doing it for unethical reasons

Reply to jackxlj

The SEC can step in if there is some hint of illegality. But they don't care if a company is making or losing money, whether their stockholders are making or losing money or whether this particular "authorization" will dilute shares. That's done every day. They simple make sure all the "i"'s are dotted and "t"'s are crossed. That's it.

Reply to lance525
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lol, im not argueing any of this, i was just pointing out that the sec, can inded stop this from happening if they see fit. I know what powers the SEC weilds, and your right, its ungodly

Reply to jackxlj

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hmmm, the SEC can stop a company from issueing more stocks at a given time, if they think the company may be doing it for unethical reasons



The SEC wields an ungodly amount of power.

That's very true, but they are NOT the "Consumers Union" for investors. They are there to make sure all laws are followed in the market for stocks, bonds, securities. Just because something is bad for investors (short or long term), does not mean that the SEC will step in. They could care less. But try to scam them......

Reply to lance525

My bet is the stock moves with the market, i.e. no abnormal downward movement.

57,000,000 shares were given to ATI shareholders for that merger.

I think they are doing it to have the ability to do future stock mergers and issue employees stock options, etc.

I don't think that they are so weak that they need to engage in a dilutative transaction to raise capital.

By the way if the situation was that dire for AMD selling first thing in the morning would be no help. Stocks seldom open at the previous nights close. So anyone thinking they could get out now is already screwed.

Reply to bunkgoats
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umm, even if they get this approved by the SEC, they wouldnt have the investor vote until May. Its not a dump of stock that makes me think that AMD will be hitting single number prices, its what this is going to do to investor confidence

Reply to jackxlj

Quote :

hmmm, the SEC can stop a company from issueing more stocks at a given time, if they think the company may be doing it for unethical reasons



The SEC wields an ungodly amount of power.

That's very true, but they are NOT the "Consumers Union" for investors. They are there to make sure all laws are followed in the market for stocks, bonds, securities. Just because something is bad for investors (short or long term), does not mean that the SEC will step in. They could care less. But try to scam them......

essentially thats what i was getting at.

And my point as well. Dilution of a companies stock is NOT an act that the SEC considers illegal. While vague, the proxy stated precisely what this was, simply an authorization for doubling the stock shares. And that's just fine with the SEC. Drive your company into the ground on bad investments; That's ok, as long as you don't hide your stupidity from the investors.....

Reply to lance525
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Quote :

hmmm, the SEC can stop a company from issueing more stocks at a given time, if they think the company may be doing it for unethical reasons



The SEC wields an ungodly amount of power.

And that wielding, I think, could end up happening. If someone in the SEC decides that there have been too many stupid decisions, too many false statements made, too much stock being sold by corperate heads, they could instigate an investigation and put a hold on any issuance of stock, or some other nice thing. Hate to think what would happen to the stock price then. \
\
\

Reply to Sailer
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lol, ya, ive ben buying alot of AMD lately to,as it gets lower, ill just buy more, if a buyout occurs, ill get a good premium,or better stock in a stronger company, or both, and if one doesnt occur, then AMD will hit 16 or 17 again,and ill bank then, either way, im good

Reply to jackxlj

Brokers are at the bottom of the talent pool as far as portfolio management.

The best in portfolio management go to institutions, pension funds, hedge funds, and endowments; this is where they can play with billions.

The nex set do private wealth management, for clients worth 10,000,000+.

The rest are available to the public and take what they can get; they get to screw around with a couple $100,000.

Reply to bunkgoats
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give it up JJ, no matter what facts you give people, they will argue that AMD is dueing fine, has tons of cash, and needs no help at all

Reply to jackxlj
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Quote :


By the way if the situation was that dire for AMD selling first thing in the morning would be no help. Stocks seldom open at the previous nights close. So anyone thinking they could get out now is already screwed.



Yeah, I know, but better to try to try to abandon ship quickly then to wait until the ship's already sunk.

Reply to Sailer

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the entity to step in is the FTC and the company that would be investigated is Intel....



Please don't say that......

This will only restart the "55% market share is a monopoly debate"!! (can't remember whose silly quote that was, though....)

Just kidding, by the way, you're absolutely correct.

Reply to lance525

Jack, with all due respect, this is mostly broiler plate language. They will put everything they could do with the shares in there so they have all options open, now and in the future.

Also, just because they have the capability to issue 50% more shares doesn't mean they will. Those share could hang out and unissued forever. If the shares aren't issued its not dilutative. My bet is on acquistions.

They have the capability to currently issue 750,000,000 shares, but as of now the total Shares Outstanding is: 548.6.

No need to debate, the market will tell us tomorrow if my understanding is correct. My bet is written above - promise I won't change it if I am wrong :wink: If I am wrong I will write back to you and say the following, " Jack I was wrong, AMD is going to do a dilutative transaction."

Reply to bunkgoats
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tommorow has no variance in what will happen, as the shares cant be issued, until shareholders vote on it...and thats in may.

Reply to jackxlj
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Quote :

Brokers are at the bottom of the talent pool as far as portfolio management.

The best in portfolio management go to institutions, pension funds, hedge funds, and endowments; this is where they can play with billions.

The nex set do private wealth management, for clients worth 10,000,000+.

The rest are available to the public and take what they can get; they get to screw around with a couple $100,000.



True ,but the point is to get valid up to the minute expert opinion as it suits your portfolio.I cant argue with your points. :wink:

I won't argue the point on brokers much either. For myself, I used the term broker in a loose manner. I put in a call to my son, who is a tax accountant besides being into stocks, and he relayed it on to a couple people, one who works for the IRS up in Reno. None of them said anything good, and all advised to get out of the stock.

That said, they could all be wrong. So tomorrow, and the days to come, I may have a smile on my face, or I may be kicking myself. At least I'll know I did what seemed best and didn't just sit around and do nothing out of fear.

Reply to Sailer

And what makes it non-preditory, and thus much worse for AMD, is that Intel did it without going below their costs and continued to make money while they did it.

So not much the FTC can do for them either. Cost advantages do not count as being "preditory". Unless free enterprise has now been ruled preditory.....

Reply to lance525
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The stock price will drop becouse of this, but no shares will be isued until May, so we wont see the true impact of this until then.

Reply to jackxlj

Quote :



This will only restart the "55% market share is a monopoly debate"!! (can't remember whose silly quote that was, though....)





I'm actually very surprised that that particular individual has not yet made an appearance in this thread. 8O

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