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AMD Phenom CPUs to see further delays? (Digitimes)




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Intel is simply a monster when it comes to R&D and product portfolio. AMD is struggling to release a single product, where Intel can simply grab something "off the shelf" and release it.

I have a friend who works at the Intel fab in Arizona. He tells me that Intel has several advantages over AMD. The first, is that each Intel fab is consutructed exactly the same, which makes upgrading and refining their processes much easier and faster. If they find that something works really well in a fab, they can quickly modify the other fabs to keep pace.
The second, is that at any given time, Intel has at least three new generations of product refined and ready to hit market within 3-6 months if they so desire to do so. Intel sits on a lot of product, with no real reason to release anything unless they feel pushed to do so. This is why it is imperative that AMD survive and refine Phenom so that Intel is pushed to continue to release new products. Otherwise it will be the good ole' days of the Pentium 2, where the cost difference was immense for a difference of 33 mhz

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ryman554 wrote :

*IF* that is the case, then, yes. B3 did not solve the problem. It would also add ~10 weeks to the schedule. And would account for the extended delay, and you'll see a B4/C0 stepping soon.

*IF* that is the case.




But that begs the question...

Did they KNOW that B3 didn't fix it? Because as far as I remember they claimed B3 would fix it. How long have they known B3 wouldn't fix it?

Or is it yield issues.


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OlSkoolChopper wrote :

*IF* that's the case... add 10 weeks to Q2 (maybe Q3) and you end up right in the front foyer of Nehalem. G-d help them...



No, *IF* that is the case, add 10 weeks to the projected Q1 release and you get Q2.

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cnumartyr wrote :

But that begs the question...

Did they KNOW that B3 didn't fix it? Because as far as I remember they claimed B3 would fix it. How long have they known B3 wouldn't fix it?

Or is it yield issues.



I have no idea if B3 fixed it or not. AMD will know by now, but only about now at the very earliest.

All I did was answer your question... IF the B3 stepping still has the TLB bug, THEN they need to do a respin of the silicon, which adds 10 weeks to whatever they projected. It fits with the Q1->Q2 delay, I suppose, but it's highly circumstantial, and I would not put much stock into it.

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ryman554 wrote :

I have no idea if B3 fixed it or not. AMD will know by now, but only about now at the very earliest.

All I did was answer your question... IF the B3 stepping still has the TLB bug, THEN they need to do a respin of the silicon, which adds 10 weeks to whatever they projected. It fits with the Q1->Q2 delay, I suppose, but it's highly circumstantial, and I would not put much stock into it.




I know what you meant, my question is I'm wondering when they realized the B3 still had the bug (if it does).


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ragemonkey wrote :

Intel is simply a monster when it comes to R&D and product portfolio. AMD is struggling to release a single product, where Intel can simply grab something "off the shelf" and release it.

The second, is that at any given time, Intel has at least three new generations of product refined and ready to hit market within 3-6 months if they so desire to do so. Intel sits on a lot of product, with no real reason to release anything unless they feel pushed to do so. This is why it is imperative that AMD survive and refine Phenom so that Intel is pushed to continue to release new products. Otherwise it will be the good ole' days of the Pentium 2, where the cost difference was immense for a difference of 33 mhz



I can tell you that your friend is selling you a fantasy.

The last thing a semiconductor company wants to do is to make a lot of product they aren't going to sell, or worse, let it sit on a shelf somewhere.

I can emphatically say there are not, nor have there ever been, "three generations" of product just waiting to be sold.

Intel has three generations of product is various stages of production / development, and by this I mean process generations -- 65nm, 45nm, and 32nm, with the latter contained to their research fab. Maybe you include 90nm in this to get your three generations being sold, but that's *really* old hat. And each of those generations are in different fabs.

As for product -- again, unless you're talking about Itanium / x86 / flash or CPU / chipset, I have no idea what your friend is talking about. Let's take the heater known as Cedar Mill/Prescott. If intel had other stuff to sell (ie, the P-M), don't you think they would have responded a lot faster? Sure, there are different "grades" of Core 2 going out now (Server/DT/Mobile) which are similar, but not quite identical. And then there's silverthorn -- which *is* something new... and the Nehalem and/or Dunnington, the foray into "more than two cores" for intel, but these aren't exactly sitting on the shelf. Most likely they are working through silicon respins to get things *ready* to sell.

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cnumartyr wrote :

I know what you meant, my question is I'm wondering when they realized the B3 still had the bug (if it does).



About now would be the right time.

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OlSkoolChopper wrote :

guys, a friend of mine in Idaho decided to buy a house at zero down. $350K when he was making barely $30K a year. Some criminal moron let him have the loan and a couple of years later he became just another statistic in the subprime mess. Now he's sleping on his moms sofa. Why the story? It's the same thing with AMD. Who the PhreakinPhenomHell ever told Hector the lunatic to go buy a company (ATI) that he couldnt afford? Fusion my a$$. You don't take on a $350K mortgage when you can barely pay your rent and you dont go swallow up a $6B company when you know your goin down the craper and your market cap will equal your buy in a year. And yes they did know it because there is no way that they were bilsfuly ignorant even back then that their roadmap was scifi. Yeild, TLb, whatever it was or is, I'm sure that there are plenty of PhDs at AMD who could have told Hector that what he wanted to do was unaffordable and technically too difficult. So instead of hunkerin down and concentrating on a strong mid and low market, they had to go out and blow up their own company by creating the utlimate chip... 40% clock on clock on Clovertown... blablabla. hector did this already in his last job so hes just doing it again. Corporate America is the only place where the more incompetent you are the more money you make and the better jobs you get.

Sure, AMD was a great copany and they made great chips. So what? Change one letter and you have AMC. They made some great cars too... the AMX was a killer musclecar. Then they started making Gremilins, Matadors and Pacers. Then they died. They desreved to die. Because they sucked. You can't live on your laurles of what you made that was great a decade ago. What's on the market now? Nuthin? Then you suck.

At least AMC didnt ship out Pacers with engines that were known to be faulty. AMD is! where the hell is the class action suit? If some manufacturer puts out a widget that doesn't work as advertised they are going to get crucefied. Why does the same not apply to AMD? Is ti because Wall St realizes that if they croak then Intel gets a monopoly and all hell breaks loose? There have got to be mroe reasons than that! Wall st is a free market system. They love to see the good rise and the bad fall. Why would they be subsedezing acknoledged bad managment? It's a mystery to me!

All I know is that Phenoms suck, and until B3 comes out as late as six months from now, they will continue to suck and if anyone asks me if they shoudl buy one I'll continue to tell them that they should have their PhreakinPhenom heads examined.



DELETED Is that all you're capable of???bashing AMD???You better pray and hope that AMD does not go under cause if it does we are all screwed.So instead of bashing the hell out of them,try offering some support for a company that has shown time and again that it can put out quality high end products that beat INTEL hands down.So what,is it ok for INTEL to sit on their prestigeous past like they did for a couple of years before they came out with C2D???AMD beat them before and they'll beat them again.I do agree that Hector needs to take a long look at his career and the way he does things and try to do things differently.The purchase of ATI was a good move on AMDs part.The technology on the graphics side is getting quite complicated and although it is a huge expenditure initialy,given enough time,it will prove very valuable to AMD as well as beneficial to the consumer.MERRY CHRISTMAS EVERYONE.

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Message edited by turpit on 12-25-2007 at 05:49:03 PM
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Reynod wrote :

And the fastest 486 was an AMD from memory.

5x86133 ... clocked to 160.

Kept up with my mate's Pentium 75 / 90 ... his cost 6 times the price of my build.

386DX - 40 (AMD again)

P4 ... hello welcome to Thunderbird ... then A64 ... then X2.

Intel has only just gotten well and truly in front with the Core2 design ... built largely on the discarded P3 and mobile architectures with some brilliant cache re-engineering from those Israeli geniuses.

AMD hasn't got an answer yet ... a tricked up K8 just doesn't cut it ... even when 4 cores are snug as a rug on the same die.

They need to spend more money on R&D ... bit hard when your broke tho.

Intel will probably go back to sleep otherwise ... you will see speed grades in 10Mhz steps unless AMD survives.



The only design amd managed to get in front with was the K8 (A64/Opteron/X2 series) - The K5, K6 and K7 all came close, but no luck. On the up side they have always been cheaper are easier upgrades (until K8) - socket 7 got years of like added with the K6-2 and K6-3, socket a lived a long time.

As for "discarded P3 and mobile architectures" - P6/Pentium Pro -> Pentium 2 -> Pentium 3 -> Pentium M -> Core Duo -> Core 2 Duo - its not discarded, and Intel had it on there road maps a year before it came out, i was actually speaking of conroe almost a year before it came out here on these threads, and no one thought it would work and happen lol.


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Dahak, on this sacred occasion allow me to wish you and yours all the blesings of the season, a very merry Christmas and a truly happy, joyous and prosperos new year.

DELETED Ever hear of survival of the fittest? AMD isn't some mutant baby with one leg and one eye you keep alive because of theological ethics. Sure, a monopoly by intel woudl be hell, but why should I or anyone else subsidize with our credit cards the sheer incompitence and utter stupidity of Hector Ruiz and his bunch of self serving execs who are only looking at their exit checks after they cut their makret cap to 1/3 and put their company in the toilet? DELETED
Best of the season, peace on earth, goodwill towards men... even AMD fanbois like you! :lol:


Message edited by turpit on 12-25-2007 at 05:53:02 PM
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ragemonkey wrote :

Intel is simply a monster when it comes to R&D and product portfolio. AMD is struggling to release a single product, where Intel can simply grab something "off the shelf" and release it.

I have a friend who works at the Intel fab in Arizona. He tells me that Intel has several advantages over AMD. The first, is that each Intel fab is consutructed exactly the same, which makes upgrading and refining their processes much easier and faster. If they find that something works really well in a fab, they can quickly modify the other fabs to keep pace.
The second, is that at any given time, Intel has at least three new generations of product refined and ready to hit market within 3-6 months if they so desire to do so. Intel sits on a lot of product, with no real reason to release anything unless they feel pushed to do so. This is why it is imperative that AMD survive and refine Phenom so that Intel is pushed to continue to release new products. Otherwise it will be the good ole' days of the Pentium 2, where the cost difference was immense for a difference of 33 mhz



Hence why before the new 45nm core 2's were even release Intel had samples of Nehalem floating around and even demonstrating them, this is well before even AMD had benchmarks for there new cpu, and even so before AMD even had working 45nm samples working (prolly still don't even today).

Intel Timna - altho not released had some interesting concepts, YEARS eariler (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intel_Timna) - 1990???? So much for AMD's radical fusion cpu design. Pfffftttttt


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apache_lives wrote :

Hence why before the new 45nm core 2's were even release Intel had samples of Nehalem floating around and even demonstrating them, this is well before even AMD had benchmarks for there new cpu, and even so before AMD even had working 45nm samples working (prolly still don't even today).



Nehalem is neither refined nor ready to sell. If you think the response to the Barcy was bad, if intel released Nehalem today, it would be a bloodbath. What was demonstated were some carefully chosen demos using A0 silicon. A feat, to be sure, but that does not a saleable product make. From a demo like that, you tack on 9 months at the earliest before that product is ready.

As for why they would demo it then? That's sheer marketing.

And AMD does NOT have 45nm samples working. If they were, you would hear the press releases. Immediately. Not "we're gonna have them soon", not "we're confident they will boot", but "WOW!! Lookit investors! Here's task manager on our 45nm chip!!!"

That is, unless you buy into the "Hector wants a golden parachute" theory.

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Nehalem is 12 months away from sale, and when it comes out there is a resonable expictation that it will be ready for prime time, unlike that disaster that K10 turned out to be.

and yes, I subsribe to the Hector's Golden Parachute Theory. He's done it before, remember?

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ryman554 wrote :

Nehalem is neither refined nor ready to sell. If you think the response to the Barcy was bad, if intel released Nehalem today, it would be a bloodbath. What was demonstated were some carefully chosen demos using A0 silicon. A feat, to be sure, but that does not a saleable product make. From a demo like that, you tack on 9 months at the earliest before that product is ready.

As for why they would demo it then? That's sheer marketing.

And AMD does NOT have 45nm samples working. If they were, you would hear the press releases. Immediately. Not "we're gonna have them soon", not "we're confident they will boot", but "WOW!! Lookit investors! Here's task manager on our 45nm chip!!!"

That is, unless you buy into the "Hector wants a golden parachute" theory.



hence why i said samples?


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