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Gaming Systems Reaching 'Tens of Teraflops' by 2019

By - Source: PC World | B 51 comments

Nvidia says gaming systems of 2019 will be able to render today's cut-scenes and cinematics in real-time, and reach a performance of "tens of teraflops."

Nvidia CEO Jen-Hsun Huang said on Wednesday that gaming systems will likely reach a performance of "tens of teraflops" by 2019, and be capable of rendering real-time visuals equal to the pre-rendered cutscenes and cinematics we currently see in games today. These systems will eventually have the same level of performance as some of today's supercomputers, he said.

As it stands now, the PlayStation 3 has a peak speed of only a several hundred gigaflops. But by the end of the decade, gaming systems will feature computing speeds matching the Red Storm supercomputer which was initially designed to reach 41.5 teraflops (a trillion floating point operations per second). Despite that kind of horsepower, they won't require megawatts of power to operate, but instead will consume the same amounts of power as today's machines.

"We will be able to deliver that level of capability in 2019 in a game console with a 100 watts," Huang said.

Huang went on to talk about making improvements to the performance of GPUs in supercomputers a top priority. Currently Nvidia has GPUs installed in some of the world's fastest supercomputers which, when paired with CPUs, allow for higher speeds and better performance without the need for extra loads of power. Huang said this should allow for a supercomputer to have a peak speed of an exaflop (quintillion operations per second) by the year 2019 using only 20 megawatts.

IDG News reports that U.S.-based supercomputer Titan will use 18,000 Nvidia GPUs when construction is finally completed, and will feature a peak speed of 20 petaflops. The world's fastest supercomputer, Japan's K computer, only has a peak speed of 8 petaflops and consumes around 10 megawatts of juice.

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  • 24 Hide
    lca1443 , December 16, 2011 2:39 PM
    I've always wondered what the point of these articles are?

    News flash everything will be more advanced in the future!..........no way, really
  • 15 Hide
    Kamab , December 16, 2011 2:14 PM
    Moore's law and the current trends makes this seem pretty likely.
  • 13 Hide
    Anonymous , December 16, 2011 3:23 PM
    rohitbaranWell, by then maybe the game engines will also evolve to more realistic visual levels that again it won't be possible to render cut scenes in real time.

    +1 reading comprehension fail.
Other Comments
  • -4 Hide
    lahawzel , December 16, 2011 2:06 PM
    Wonder what AMD has to say about this...
  • -9 Hide
    de5_Roy , December 16, 2011 2:10 PM
    nvidia eh.. they will reach that kind of computing power while consuming obscene amount of electric power like their current cards. nvidia should implement better power management in their gpus.
  • 15 Hide
    Kamab , December 16, 2011 2:14 PM
    Moore's law and the current trends makes this seem pretty likely.
  • 7 Hide
    Anonymous , December 16, 2011 2:16 PM
    About that electric bill...I can I take an IOU for this month?
  • 1 Hide
    Netherscourge , December 16, 2011 2:16 PM
    Yea, but nobody will take the time to put that much effort into a game in the first place.

    1. They want the game to run on as many platforms as possible (mobile, tablets, laptops, etc...) That right there will be the "bottleneck"

    2. They will want to ship their games as fast as possible. Taking extra time to pump out a game that needs 10 Tflops probably won't get enough of a return to make it profitable in the first place.


  • 0 Hide
    mcd023 , December 16, 2011 2:37 PM
    i still don't think that we have single cards doing quite the pre-rendered scenes from 5 or 8 years ago. They look really good today, but they had a lot more polygons. I'd say close though! Although 3 580s in SLI just about do it. haha
  • 24 Hide
    lca1443 , December 16, 2011 2:39 PM
    I've always wondered what the point of these articles are?

    News flash everything will be more advanced in the future!..........no way, really
  • 5 Hide
    RipperjackAU , December 16, 2011 2:54 PM
    lca1443News flash everything will be more advanced in the future!..........no way, really


    If what the Mayans have been predicting about 2012 is true... well... it might not be.
  • -4 Hide
    rohitbaran , December 16, 2011 3:10 PM
    Well, rendering cut scenes in current game engines in real time with 10 year later hardware doesn't sound that impressive. By the year 2019, when game engines would also have evolved to better visual levels, games will be developed with those engines and then again it won't be possible to render cut scenes in real time.
  • -4 Hide
    sissysue , December 16, 2011 3:23 PM
    Yeah right, wishful thinking, how many years have the PS3 and 360 been around and how many years are left before they replace them. They will have the 720 and PS4 by then and they will be better but not near what Nvidia is claiming.
  • 13 Hide
    Anonymous , December 16, 2011 3:23 PM
    rohitbaranWell, by then maybe the game engines will also evolve to more realistic visual levels that again it won't be possible to render cut scenes in real time.

    +1 reading comprehension fail.
  • 4 Hide
    theuniquegamer , December 16, 2011 3:26 PM
    I think we will play the games of graphics like avatar movie in near future before 2019.
  • 2 Hide
    Anonymous , December 16, 2011 3:38 PM
    tens of teraflops on consoles...wow, imagine how fun quick time and scripted events will be with that much horsepower.
  • 2 Hide
    CaedenV , December 16, 2011 3:49 PM
    If the next consoles come out in 2013 (sorry, wii doesn't count in this race) then in 2019 they will only be 5 years old, and will not be replaced (sadly) for another 3 years. nVidia may have the parts to get the job done, but that does not mean anyone will be using them.

    On a related note, we are already hearing about how the next gen consoles will have 3 year old (4 year old by the time of release) parts in them. This could be the first console release where even mainstream game rigs will be able to beat consoles on quality right out of the box. With the PS2/xBox consoles were a little ahead, then PS3/x360 it was the same quality as a main stream game PC for a few months. I remember being excited to buy a PS3 until I purchased my 9800GT for $180. Then I was really disappointed in the graphics of the consoles and never did end up buying one (besides, I would have to buy a TV to go with it... I think I'll stick with my nice 28" monitor).

    But the point is, if you have to have a PC anyways to do work/internet, then why buy a console when you could put the money into a GPU and controller and enjoy better quality games, while getting a better experience for what work you do on it? At least before you could get better/equal performance to a PC, but I doubt that with the next gen.
  • -2 Hide
    ThornDJL7 , December 16, 2011 3:53 PM
    sissysueYeah right, wishful thinking, how many years have the PS3 and 360 been around and how many years are left before they replace them. They will have the 720 and PS4 by then and they will be better but not near what Nvidia is claiming.


    What's the point of a better GPU in a TV Console system when it's mostly pre-teens and frat boys playing them. They wouldn't know the difference, thus why they play most, if not all of their games on a console on the biggest TV they can find.
  • 0 Hide
    afrubin , December 16, 2011 4:03 PM
    Doesn't surprise me... however...

    I'd really like to see how the cut-scenes will look... now THAT will be amazing.
  • 1 Hide
    woshitudou , December 16, 2011 4:08 PM
    After this iteration of consoles I believe consoles will be in the cloud. I don't trust anything nvidia says because they've been waffling and the whole Fermi thing ended up being all talk.
  • -2 Hide
    Trialsking , December 16, 2011 4:17 PM
    CaedenVIf the next consoles come out in 2013 (sorry, wii doesn't count in this race) then in 2019 they will only be 5 years old, and will not be replaced (sadly) for another 3 years. nVidia may have the parts to get the job done, but that does not mean anyone will be using them..

    So he is saying the xbox 720 with its 4800 AMD based video card will be doing tens of teraflops in 2019?!?!?
    Because if the 720 launches in 2013, and has a lfe cycle anything life the 360, then it will only be 6 years old in 2019 with a GPU that came out on 2009
  • 3 Hide
    Skippy27 , December 16, 2011 4:21 PM
    CaedenVThis could be the first console release where even mainstream game rigs will be able to beat consoles on quality right out of the box. With the PS2/xBox consoles were a little ahead, then PS3/x360 it was the same quality as a main stream game PC for a few months.


    You do realize this is dedicated special purpose hardware they use that in no way compares to mainstream PC parts right?

    CaedenV(besides, I would have to buy a TV to go with it... I think I'll stick with my nice 28" monitor).


    Not sure why you would have to purchase a TV. I use my 24" monitor for both my gaming computer and my xBox with both connected to HDMI with a optical switch to switch to external speakers if I decide not to use my headphones for one reason or another.
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