Samsung and SK hynix warn AI-driven memory shortages could last until 2027 and beyond, as HBM demand explodes — customers already reserving supply years ahead, while the wider DRAM market begins to tighten
Supply may never match exploding demand, despite massive investments in supply infrastructure
In Samsung’s full earnings report released on April 30, 2026, the company’s memory chief Kim Jaejune warned that “significant shortages” across memory products are expected to continue through at least 2027. According to the company, demand fulfillment rates have fallen to record lows as customers rush to secure future supply, SCMP reports. The warning closely mirrors comments made by “rival” SK Hynix during its earnings call just a week earlier.
Together with US-based Micron Technology, Samsung and SK hynix control well over 90% of the global DRAM market. When two of the world’s three biggest memory suppliers simultaneously warn of multi-year shortages, it wouldn’t be too out of place to worry.
The shortages are being driven largely by the need for artificial intelligence infrastructure. Modern AI systems require enormous amounts of high-speed memory to continuously feed data to GPUs and accelerators. At the center of this demand surge is HBM (high-bandwidth memory), a vertically stacked form of DRAM designed to deliver extremely high bandwidth while remaining physically close to processors.
HBM has become critical for AI accelerators. However, the technology is difficult and expensive to manufacture, requiring advanced die stacking, precision bonding, and sophisticated packaging techniques. As a result, supply is limited, and demand is outpacing manufacturers' ability to build capacity.
While the shortage is driven primarily by HBM demand, its effects are beginning to spill over into the broader memory market. Because HBM itself is a form of DRAM, manufacturers are increasingly reallocating manufacturing capacity, engineering resources, and investment toward high-margin AI memory products. That shift risks tightening supply for more conventional DRAM products used in servers, PCs, and mobile devices. Enterprise SSD demand is also rising as AI data centers require massive storage infrastructure alongside compute hardware.
Ironically, the industry is simultaneously searching for alternatives because current memory architectures consume enormous amounts of power. We recently reported on efforts to develop next-generation memory technologies such as 3D X-DRAM and ZAM (Z-Angle Memory), which aim to reduce power consumption and ease scaling limitations.
Yet despite massive investment into future alternatives, demand for the existing memory technologies remains overwhelming.
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Samsung reportedly stated that some customers have already secured supply allocations through 2027. Earlier this year, SK Group chairman Chey Tae-won suggested that AI-related memory demand pressure may persist even toward 2030.
The shortages are not necessarily bad news for the companies themselves.
Samsung’s semiconductor division posted 53.7 trillion won ($36.1 billion) in operating profit during the first quarter of 2026, accounting for roughly 94% of the company’s total quarterly profit as soaring AI memory demand drove record sales. Meanwhile, SK hynix reported record quarterly revenue of 52.6 trillion won ($35.5 billion), and operating profit of 37.6 trillion won ($27.8 billion), fueled largely by booming HBM sales for AI infrastructure.
Part of the problem is cyclical. The memory industry has historically swung between oversupply and shortages. However, analysts increasingly believe this cycle is different, as growth in AI infrastructure is consuming hardware at unprecedented rates.
To address the crisis, the companies are aggressively expanding production capacity and increasing investment in advanced packaging and memory fabrication. According to the Korea Times, recent regulatory filings show that Samsung Electronics invested 465.4 billion won in its Xi’an memory chip plant in 2025, a 67.5% year-over-year increase. SK hynix also significantly increased spending, investing 581.1 billion won into its Wuxi facilities and 440.6 billion won into its Dalian operations.
However, semiconductor fabrication plants and advanced memory packaging facilities take years to expand and ramp up, meaning supply growth cannot catch up to the pace of AI-driven demand.
The memory crunch is joining a growing list of resource shortages emerging from the AI explosion.
GPU shortages have already become severe across parts of the industry. Earlier this month, we reported Intel’s confirmation that extreme demand had become so intense that customers were even buying chips that might previously have been discarded or treated as low-value products.
Power is becoming another major bottleneck. AI data centers are consuming enormous amounts of electricity, forcing technology companies to seek increasingly unconventional energy solutions. Earlier this month, Meta Platforms backed plans involving space-based solar power systems that could theoretically beam solar energy back to Earth to help support future AI infrastructure demands.
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Etiido Uko is a news contributor for Tom's Hardware covering the latest updates in big tech and the PC industry. He is a mechanical engineer and senior technical writer with over nine years of experience in documentation and reporting. He is deeply passionate about all things engineering and technology, and is an expert in gadgets, manufacturing, robotics, automotive, and aerospace.
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Kindaian So we are doomed.Reply
For getting memory in the market we need the AI companies to go bankrupt. If that happens, the economy will tank. So we are on a zugzwang situation. If we play we loose, if we don't play we loose. -
Marlin1975 If demand does not change sure. But the "free" money will run out and with even OpenAI admitting they can't even meet their own conservative numbers of users that day may come a lot sooner than then.Reply -
xiq Reply
The AI bubble is going to pop, it's only a question of when. The earlier it pops, the less consequential it will be on the global economy, and the sooner hardware prices go back to normal.Kindaian said:So we are doomed.
For getting memory in the market we need the AI companies to go bankrupt. If that happens, the economy will tank. So we are on a zugzwang situation. If we play we loose, if we don't play we loose.
It's kind of a lose less now or lose more but later, and you can't really do anything about it as an individual than hope it's the least terrible conclusion to this crisis. -
80251 It sounds like there's no good outcome to these shortages of SSDs and memory products, in the long term or the short term.Reply
Where are these AI companies getting the capital to buy all this gear? Who's funding them and how are they profiting from AI in the short term? -
xiq Reply
Where they get their capital? apparently they're doing a thing called circular funding. I will not pretend I really know how that works, but it's the word being thrown around.80251 said:It sounds like there's no good outcome to these shortages of SSDs and memory products, in the long term or the short term.
Where are these AI companies getting the capital to buy all this gear? Who's funding them and how are they profiting from AI in the short term?
As for how they're profiting in the short term, they aren't, ai companies are losing money everyday and have no idea how they're even supposed to make a profit. the only ones who are truly profiting from this are the memory manufacturers like samsung and sk hynix selling ram to everyone. -
80251 Reply
There's nothing good about this AI frenzy so I can see your point in spades. Aside from NAND and memory manufacturers (is that redundant?) who is making money off AI? How do you monetize AI?umeng2002_2 said:The crash is going to be very hard. -
Shiznizzle Even HDD makers are now jumping on board stating that demand is high for spinning rust. I am not buying it. Not one bit. The demand for actual storage by the likes of google, meta ect probably crept up year after year but for HDD the demand dropped since the introduction of the SSD. They are not fooling me one bit.. Now they are trying to tell us that people are going back to HDD? No way. Not buying it. TO me its greed and they are making this up to get a slice of the "AI" pie in the sky.Reply -
Thunder64 ReplyKindaian said:So we are doomed.
For getting memory in the market we need the AI companies to go bankrupt. If that happens, the economy will tank. So we are on a zugzwang situation. If we play we loose, if we don't play we loose.
So you describe the situation perfectly with a word like zugzwang, but get the word lose wrong? Sorry, pet peeve of mine as it is a very common mistake.
80251 said:There's nothing good about this AI frenzy so I can see your point in spades. Aside from NAND and memory manufacturers (is that redundant?) who is making money off AI? How do you monetize AI?
NAND and memory are made using different technologies and different players, so not really redundant. I was checking out the price of SSD's not long ago as I was looking to replace a laptop with a very small 120GB one, and even 512GB SSD's are crazy compared to what they used to be. -
usertests Reply
You either make workers more productive, and possibly fire workers as a result, or sell AI services like LLMs, image/video generation, or coding tools to anybody who wants them. Or sell (Nvidia) or rent (Amazon) accelerators to people to let them run whatever they want.80251 said:How do you monetize AI?
It's coming to a lot of disciplines. Scientists, mathematicians, and the institutions they work for will be paying for these tools:
With LLMs, “I can suddenly do an experiment in 20 minutes that two years ago would have taken me two weeks,” he said. Though “most of the time it doesn’t work,” AI can now be used like never before “to discover the world that has riches beyond our imagination.”
Before AI blew up, there was a trend of slowly increasing shipments of HDD capacity (measured in bytes, e.g. around 2 billion terabytes total in 2026) while the actual number of HDDs shipped was decreasing. The average capacity and selling price of a drive are increasing. This reflects a total collapse of HDD sales in the consumer market, and a shift to cloud hyperscalers and other big customers.Shiznizzle said:Even HDD makers are now jumping on board stating that demand is high for spinning rust. I am not buying it. Not one bit. The demand for actual storage by the likes of google, meta ect probably crept up year after year but for HDD the demand dropped since the introduction of the SSD. They are not fooling me one bit.. Now they are trying to tell us that people are going back to HDD? No way. Not buying it. TO me its greed and they are making this up to get a slice of the "AI" pie in the sky.
Now with AI, there are more big datasets to store, and this may be causing the number of HDDs shipped to increase again.
Embarrassing amount of typos in this article but you can just look at the charts: https://www.blocksandfiles.com/container-storage/2025/05/17/disk-drive-capacity-shipments-out-to-2030-forecast-to-rocket-upwards/1610577