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Report Paints Depressing Sales Numbers For DRAM Makers

By - Source: GBI | B 26 comments

The Bankruptcy of Elpida still carries the hope that balance in supply and demand will return in the DRAM industry.

However, GBI Research believes that the DRAM industry is caught up in a "vicious cycle" that forces full production volume to pay for past expenses, but results in oversupply that kills pricing.

In 2010, DRAM makers recorded revenues of $37.31 billion, and only $29.47 billion in 2011. For 2012, the researchers project only $29 billion. At the same time, smartphones and tablets promote a scenario where unit numbers are exploding, but capacities are shrinking. In 2010, 16.39 billion units were shipped. In 2012, the number will be almost double - 32 million devices.

To curb falling prices, DRAMeXchange reported that DRAM makers will be forced to cut their production as prices are forecast to further decline in August - after a dramatic 7 percent. A 2 Gb DDR3 chip currently sells for $1.08.

 

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  • 4 Hide
    blingooron , August 3, 2012 6:37 PM
    Im not sure how these sales numbers break up into consumer sales, however im not buying it cause I dont need more than 8 gig and the difference today in ram is really splitting hairs (for performance) and not giving me 50% faster load times or helping my fps. So...no buy!
  • 0 Hide
    Chainzsaw , August 3, 2012 6:43 PM
    Hmm maybe it's a good time to re-introduce RDRAM into mainstream.



    /joke
  • 2 Hide
    blingooron , August 3, 2012 6:45 PM
    Rambus...feel sorry for those poor souls (from a consumer gaming pov)
  • 1 Hide
    g00fysmiley , August 3, 2012 6:49 PM
    release a new standard with a signifigant performance boost and they will sell, also if they can convince oem to include more ram sales might improve... but most us in the pc market have ddr3 comign out our ears it has been around for a whiel i have a few unused sticks just in with old motherboards from upgrades but having 16 gigs in each machine ther eis no need to buy more no gain betyon even 8 gigs in most machines
  • -5 Hide
    badhomaks , August 3, 2012 7:03 PM
    "In 2010, 16.39 billion units were shipped. In 2012, the number will be almost double - 32 million devices." Daum, a whole -200% increase.
  • 1 Hide
    leongrado , August 3, 2012 7:08 PM
    g00fysmileyrelease a new standard with a signifigant performance boost and they will sell, also if they can convince oem to include more ram sales might improve... but most us in the pc market have ddr3 comign out our ears it has been around for a whiel i have a few unused sticks just in with old motherboards from upgrades but having 16 gigs in each machine ther eis no need to buy more no gain betyon even 8 gigs in most machines


    Definitely. Seems like the main determining factor right now for memory is simply how much you have. If they actually introduce let's say DDR4 that has a maybe 25% performance boost then we might see people upgrading.
  • 3 Hide
    freggo , August 3, 2012 8:21 PM
    badhomaks"In 2010, 16.39 billion units were shipped. In 2012, the number will be almost double - 32 million devices." Daum, a whole -200% increase.


    not to be picky but that's a 100% increase :-)

  • 0 Hide
    hannibal , August 3, 2012 8:31 PM
    Well Intel is pringing DDR4 to CPU after the Haswell (If not counting Haswell-ep), so it will not help dram makers at this moment. Allso it is true that ram speed has not been very bad bottlenek, so it would reguire much, much faster CPU to reguire much faster ram... Summasumarum ram makers are in trouble.
  • 1 Hide
    twelch82 , August 3, 2012 8:59 PM
    Maybe they should band together to start a software company that makes voxel modeling and rendering software. That would get people needing more RAM. You could use up a terabyte pretty easily for that matter.
  • 0 Hide
    applegetsmelaid , August 3, 2012 9:08 PM
    Looks like they are in need of the new Prozac DDR3 2800 (PC3 22400) Hexachannel RAM.
  • 1 Hide
    PreferLinux , August 3, 2012 9:40 PM
    hannibalWell Intel is pringing DDR4 to CPU after the Haswell (If not counting Haswell-e), so it will not help dram makers at this moment. Allso it is true that ram speed has not been very bad bottlenek, so it would reguire much, much faster CPU to reguire much faster ram... Summasumarum ram makers are in trouble.

    I think Haswell-EP (Xeons) is rumoured to get DDR4, and Skylake for consumer DDR4.
  • 1 Hide
    JohnnyLucky , August 3, 2012 9:49 PM
    Looks like the producers are attempting to control supply and demand.
  • 3 Hide
    bak0n , August 3, 2012 11:11 PM
    Until the average user needs more than 6gb of ram, the DRAM industry is going to suffer.
  • -3 Hide
    fb39ca4 , August 4, 2012 12:26 AM
    They should conspire with MS to make Windows 8 use 8GB of ram for just the OS, so that they get people to buy more RAM.
  • 0 Hide
    alidan , August 4, 2012 12:29 AM
    ok, assuming ddr3 takes the same size per gb as an ssd, that means that an ssd currently should only cost 54 cents per gb... and we get close to that number with major sales.

    that isn't bad... need to bookmark this so i have a reference for future ssd debates.
  • 0 Hide
    A Bad Day , August 4, 2012 2:14 AM
    ChainzsawHmm maybe it's a good time to re-introduce RDRAM into mainstream./joke


    I don't think Rambus has even a full-time staff of researchers anymore. Their offices are probably being occupied by full-time lawyers.
  • 0 Hide
    blazorthon , August 4, 2012 3:49 AM
    blingooronRambus...feel sorry for those poor souls (from a consumer gaming pov)


    Rambus has their memory in use by the PS3, among other devices. I don't think that their suffering in the console gaming community, granted they're not around the PC gaming community these days.
  • 0 Hide
    blazorthon , August 4, 2012 3:50 AM
    hannibalWell Intel is pringing DDR4 to CPU after the Haswell (If not counting Haswell-ep), so it will not help dram makers at this moment. Allso it is true that ram speed has not been very bad bottlenek, so it would reguire much, much faster CPU to reguire much faster ram... Summasumarum ram makers are in trouble.


    With instructions such as AVX and all getting more common use, RAM can quickly become a huge bottle-neck in some applications.
  • 0 Hide
    blazorthon , August 4, 2012 3:58 AM
    alidanok, assuming ddr3 takes the same size per gb as an ssd, that means that an ssd currently should only cost 54 cents per gb... and we get close to that number with major sales. that isn't bad... need to bookmark this so i have a reference for future ssd debates.


    Someone doesn't know the difference between GB and Gb. A 2Gb DDR3 chip is actually 256MiB. That DDR3 chip costs $8.64 or so per GiB aka something like $7.45 per GB. Be glad that SSDs aren't even nearly that expensive these days.

    What I want to know is that if a 256MiB chip costs $1.08, then why can we buy 2x4GB RAM kits (they use 256MiB chips) for less than $8.64 per GiB? Heck, a 2x4GiB kit can often be had as cheap as $40 on Newegg, but that's only about $5 per GiB. Maybe RAM module manufacturers get some sort of discount or something like that.
  • 0 Hide
    shin0bi272 , August 4, 2012 4:50 AM
    A Bad DayI don't think Rambus has even a full-time staff of researchers anymore. Their offices are probably being occupied by full-time lawyers.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/XDR2_DRAM


    but I do agree with the sentiment of the first couple of posters. Ive got 6gb of ram and I have no problems in games... well now that I upgraded my gpu that is.
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