Update 6/13/2022 05:35 PT:
The valuation of Ethereum has continued to drop over the weekend. When we wrote about the 15-month lows being hit, we would never have predicted a drop to 18-month lows by Monday. At the time of writing 1ETH is worth just $1,239. This represents a near 15% drop in value over the last 24 hours. We've updated the original story to reflect the updated news.
Cryptocurrencies aren't faring well as we hit the second weekend in June. Ethereum has been hit particularly hard in recent hours. Not only has the broader cryptocurrency market seen a sell-off in the wake of the current US inflation report, but Ethereum developers are also indicating that the difficulty bomb will be delayed again. This is leading some to worry that the merge will also be delayed. Ethereum (ETH) carries a valuation of $1,239 at the time of writing, down about 15% on the day and sitting at its lowest ebb for the last 18 months.
So, the cryptocurrency market as a whole is currently feeling some ill effects from Friday's consumer inflation report published by the US Labor Department. WSJ surveyed economists who had expected the consumer price index (CPI) to rise 8.3% in May, but the government said it increased 8.6% to a 40-year high. As a result, US stocks fell sharply, and crypto behaved as we have become accustomed, by following tech stocks down the pan – but exaggeratedly.
With inflation so high, moneyed individuals tend to move away from the risks of the stock market, and this movement amplifies more speculative investments. Many view cryptocurrencies as highly speculative.
The misery of ETH holders has been compounded by reports suggesting the difficulty bomb has been kicked further down the road. On Friday, developers decided to disable the difficulty bomb from earlier in the month, and will deploy it again at a later date. According to the Bloomberg report, developers found some bugs with software for the merge on one of the oldest testnets of the network and thus decided to push back the bomb. When the difficulty bomb does drop, it should help clear out ETH mining operations as the network finally begins transition from transition of ETH from Proof of Work (PoW) to Proof of Stake (PoS).
With the now regular push-backs, uncertainties emerged, raising doubt about things playing out in the way the Ethereum execs and devs have outlined. Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin stated the merge could happen this August if the devs didn't uncover any significant issues. Though Buterin also mentioned that the merge could be pushed back to September or October. Tim Beiko, who coordinates Ethereum developers, is worried about developer burnout from moving too fast. Beiko estimated that there was a 1 to 10% chance the merge won't happen at all this year in an interview with Bloomberg.
PC DIYers have a love/hate relationship with ETH and GPU-based crypto mining. On the one hand, it lets those with powerful graphics cards profit from otherwise idle computer time, perhaps helping to pay PC hardware bills. On the other hand, colossal GPU mining operations sprung up, stripping consumer outlets of GPUs and encouraging price gouging and scalpers. 2022 may see the end of this era.
Further, major hedge funds are invested in them now which is why the entire crypto market has been largely following the broader markets (i.e. the stock market) for the last few years (hedge funds rotate in and out of risky assets like stocks and cryptos and out and in to bonds and cash).
Add to that that I gather~90% of all Bitcoins are owned by just 100 individuals, and you have a recipe for complete failure since a handful of people can easily manipulate the market (and all cryptos follow the fate of BTC for some reason).
Watch it yourself and don't listen to this fud.
Shame on you Tom's hardware.