Samsung to Cut 3D NAND and DRAM Production
It is better to sell less at higher prices than more at lower prices, apparently.
Samsung was the only major memory maker that did not cut the output of DRAM and 3D NAND when demand for these commodity ICs dropped due to softening of PC and smartphone sales last year. But as the company's profits plummeted in Q1 2023, it decided to reduce memory production to balance the supply and demand situation on the market.
"We have cut short-term production plans, but as we project solid demand for the mid-to-long term, we will continue to invest in infrastructure to secure essential cleanrooms and to expand R&D investment to solidify tech leadership," a statement by Samsung published by Bloomberg reads.
Samsung is the world's largest supplier of DRAM and NAND, and memory sales significantly contribute to the company's earnings. The company commanded a 45.1% share of DRAM market and a 33.8% revenue share of NAND market in Q4 2022, according to TrendForce.
While the company formally stated that it would cut memory production, it never revealed how significantly it intends to reduce wafer starts and memory bits output.
Most of Samsung's rivals reduced memory production on older technologies but continued to gradually ramp up memory production on newer fabrication processes. Typically, the latest nodes decrease chip costs and increase bit output per wafer, so in many cases, memory ramp on newer nodes more than offsets production cuts on older nodes regarding bits output.
However, analysts believe that Samsung's intention to cut down memory production will affect the demand and supply balance in the market and will at least slow down the collapse of memory prices in Q2 2023.
"Counterpoint expects that the utilization rate reduction [will] slow down the decline of commodity memory prices," Brady Wang, a senior analyst, told Nikkei Asia. "Still, this oversupply is due to weakening demand and high inventory, so Samsung's production cut is not expected to stimulate sales. Therefore, Counterpoint believes that the oversupply situation will continue until the third quarter when the market starts to deplete inventory for the fourth quarter seasonal demand."
Stay On the Cutting Edge: Get the Tom's Hardware Newsletter
Get Tom's Hardware's best news and in-depth reviews, straight to your inbox.
Samsung's Q1 2023 revenue dropped to 63 trillion won ($48.877 billion), or 19% compared to the same quarter a year ago. The company's profit collapsed to 600 billion won ($450 million), or by 95% year-over-year, falling short of the 1.4 trillion won ($1.064 billion) average forecasted by analysts.
Anton Shilov is a contributing writer at Tom’s Hardware. Over the past couple of decades, he has covered everything from CPUs and GPUs to supercomputers and from modern process technologies and latest fab tools to high-tech industry trends.
-
InvalidError With the ChatGPT AI supremacy race kicking off two months ago and the massive surge in AI accelerator demand since, I think Samsung has a golden opportunity to shift production from DDRx/GDDRx to HBM for the next couple of years.Reply -
USAFRet
This is not related to any recent weirdness with the 980 or 990.PlaneInTheSky said:Not shocked their demand is down, who still wants Samsung SSD at this point.
According to the article, Samsung produced almost half the worldwide DRAM production, and 1/3 of the NAND.
Far more than just NVMe drives.
Quick - What brand DRAM or NAND is in your cellphone right now? Your TV/router/printer/car/doorbell?
And does it matter? -
AgentBirdnest
The 99.7% of people who use Samsung SSDs without having the slightest clue about the recent problems two models had.PlaneInTheSky said:Not shocked their demand is down, who still wants Samsung SSD at this point.
edit: even among enthusiasts who keep up with tech news and did know about the 980/990 issues - a lot of them (like myself) are still interested in Samsung. -
Co BIY Article Subtitle : It is better to sell less at higher prices than more at lower prices, apparently.
Article Quote :"Still, this oversupply is due to weakening demand and high inventory, so Samsung's production cut is not expected to stimulate sales.
Selling more at lower prices may not have been an option.
Reducing production at the margin could result in lower per unit cost. -
Alvar "Miles" Udell Oh please tell me the EU and US are looking at this incredibly closely. In a three player market in which one player controls nearly half the market share, and they reduce production in order to attempt to force higher market prices, to me that screams "WE'RE VIOLATING THE SHERMAN ACT!!!"Reply -
ekio Maybe ssds are too expansive and they should adjust their crazy prices so people can buy them with more ease. Then they wouldn’t have to reduce production…Reply -
InvalidError
When you consider that modern conventional chips cost ~$20 per 100sqmm of wafer space with about 14 metal layers in them while modern NAND can be 200+ layers, I'm actually impressed that SSDs can be as affordable as they already are.ekio said:Maybe ssds are too expansive and they should adjust their crazy prices so people can buy them with more ease. Then they wouldn’t have to reduce production…
Almost every major economic slowdown followed by a crash in DRAM demand in the past has been followed by one or two of the remaining DRAM manufacturers going bankrupt. The margins at current prices may be getting dangerously thin, especially when almost everyone has 20+G$ committed to expansion projects from the chip shortage only a year ago. -
ekio Doing C/GPUs and flash memory has nothing in common. One is a complex set of transistors that needs to run at high frequency and temp, the other is just an array, way simpler in design.Reply