Predictions for 2009
The choice of an operating system continues to be task-driven. Linux offers power users absolute control over all aspects of their PC, yet it still needs a focused desktop release that is not geared for “Linux for the Desktop,” but instead serves as an operating system focused on the consumer goals of office productivity, Web surfing, music, movies, and photos.
Mac OS X continues to find new enthusiasts who want a system that “just works.” It’s a true testament of the underlying NeXTSTEP design from 1989, bringing both UNIX capabilities and candy-coated Apple goodness. There’s no reason you can’t run a stripped-down Mac OS X system that loads xterm at launch and acts as a pure X terminal other than the fact that native Mac OS X is compelling enough.
Finally, despite all the naysayers, Windows continues to be the dominant platform for desktop computing. Microsoft’s commitment to the Windows 7 project is recognition that the company is aware of its missteps with Vista and research on Singularity/Midori continues. Microsoft isn’t about to let its dominance fade without a fight.
It’s an exciting time for technology enthusiasts.
September 2008 Worldwide Market Share (source: Net Applications)
- PC: 90.3%
- Mac: 8.23%
- Linux: 0.91%
Alan’s Prediction for September 2009
- PC: 87.1%
- Mac: 11.2%
- Linux: 1.0%