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Linux Now Has "Double" the Market Share of Windows

By - Source: Seattle Times | B 44 comments

Statistics are a matter of your viewpoint.

If you consider NetApplications' data set, then Linux owns only about 1 percent of the desktop OS market and Windows has almost 92 percent. But if you consider all computing platforms, including mobile, than Windows has only 20 percent and Linux has 42 percent - and that would be in the form of Google's Android alone.

Goldman Sachs recently published a chart which shows the shift from Microsoft's 95 percents hare of the computing platform market in 2004, when PCs dominated the computing landscape, to just 20 percent in 2012. The forecast suggests that Microsoft will be able to grow its share back to 26 percent by 2016 and Android will shrink to 39 percent, while Apple's iOS and MacOS X will expand from 24 percent today to 29 percent in 2016.

Much of those projections are based on crystal ball evaluations and depend especially on Microsoft's ability to establish Windows Phone and Windows RT against Android an iOS.

 

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  • 36 Hide
    saturnus , January 21, 2013 9:27 AM
    iOS share of market predicted to increase? I find that highly unlikely to say the least.
  • 26 Hide
    Filiprino , January 21, 2013 10:49 AM
    Linux is only a kernel not an OS. Android has a totally different userspace than GNU/Linux, it does not serve to us, GNU/Linux users, having Android with that marketshare. Hell, Android devices have bad GNU/Linux compatibility thanks to the use of propietary protocols like MTP that have to be reverse engineered and hacked to work with the quirks of the poor quality software manufacturers deliver.
  • 22 Hide
    Anonymous , January 21, 2013 9:43 AM
    linux will only get bigger, it now has a lot of things going for it in the desktop space especially with Valve behind linux
Other Comments
  • 36 Hide
    saturnus , January 21, 2013 9:27 AM
    iOS share of market predicted to increase? I find that highly unlikely to say the least.
  • -1 Hide
    Anonymous , January 21, 2013 9:34 AM
    GS probably knows something that we don't (or at least *most* of us don't ;) )
  • 22 Hide
    Anonymous , January 21, 2013 9:43 AM
    linux will only get bigger, it now has a lot of things going for it in the desktop space especially with Valve behind linux
  • -3 Hide
    diddo , January 21, 2013 10:20 AM
    "Microsoft's ability to establish Windows Phone and Windows RT"
    In this case, they are doomed.
    Since Longhorn project they bet the company on a monolithic monster-OS needing quick and infinite performance increase, in order to get people buying costly hardware and software upgrades. That was its business plan, simply put.
    In the meantime the real world shifted to mobility, and MS struggled for a decade to patch the epic disaster the new kernel and the new managed code programming paradigm was, instead of using its resources to build ground up a way out from this heck or competing on emerging markets (web, embedded, mobile, or services and research like IBM did).
  • 26 Hide
    Filiprino , January 21, 2013 10:49 AM
    Linux is only a kernel not an OS. Android has a totally different userspace than GNU/Linux, it does not serve to us, GNU/Linux users, having Android with that marketshare. Hell, Android devices have bad GNU/Linux compatibility thanks to the use of propietary protocols like MTP that have to be reverse engineered and hacked to work with the quirks of the poor quality software manufacturers deliver.
  • 10 Hide
    marcolorenzo , January 21, 2013 10:54 AM
    yeeaahhh...combining the mobile platform market with the standard PC/Mac market...that's really fair. It's like saying that bicycles have a bigger market share than cars (of course, probably not in the U.S but in Europe and Asia, that would be quite likely).
  • -6 Hide
    diddo , January 21, 2013 11:25 AM
    marcolorenzoyeeaahhh...combining the mobile platform market with the standard PC/Mac market...that's really fair. It's like saying that bicycles have a bigger market share than cars (of course, probably not in the U.S but in Europe and Asia, that would be quite likely).

    A PC used to cost less than a Mac and brought only a tiny fraction of the revenue per unit, but PC/Apple market share comparison was made since the beginning of time.
    And Netbooks were counted as PCs even if usually sold at less than half the price of an entry level PC (and less or equal to entry level smartphones!)
    Comparing market share is comparing market share, not volume or revenue, so it makes sense as ONE of the business metrics.
    In this case, mobile devices has prices comparable to low end of PC offer, not something completely unrelated in price like bicycles vs cars.
    What is more interesting is that now anyone including MS with VistaBob 8 Squarepants, is expecting to squeeze money from the web services (say advertising, say adware-based Stores, say built in adware in browser's search and desktop/metro entries), so a low end device might even (BE EXPECTED TO) generate more revenue per unit than an high end workstation expected to do real work instead of browsing or using Apps...
    Time will say what business plan is better, but sticking on the news comparing market share is a perfectly legitimate metric to take in account by itself when looking at the IT trends.
  • 8 Hide
    unksol , January 21, 2013 11:41 AM
    So there were no phone OSes before 2005? and UNIX did not exist? Nor did linux? damn I didn't know the only options in existence were Microsoft and apple before 2005.

    Mmmmm..... Horrible nonsense Data from a source who can't count. So tasty. Lets draw conclusions based on it!
  • 9 Hide
    back_by_demand , January 21, 2013 11:41 AM
    marcolorenzoyeeaahhh...combining the mobile platform market with the standard PC/Mac market...that's really fair. It's like saying that bicycles have a bigger market share than cars (of course, probably not in the U.S but in Europe and Asia, that would be quite likely).

    Very simple analogy and very true, compare Android to Windows 7 and it's a bit like comparing Ferraris to skateboards
  • 0 Hide
    tobalaz , January 21, 2013 11:45 AM
    Just wait, with as horrid as Win8 is and the fact you can actually BUY a linux pc retail and from companies like HP and Dell that looks more like a Windows pc then the current version of Windows we might keep seeing linux grab bigger and bigger shares.
  • 11 Hide
    mayankleoboy1 , January 21, 2013 12:04 PM
    i doubt that Android users/devs consider it to be Linux.
  • -1 Hide
    dthx , January 21, 2013 12:34 PM
    Interesting but pointless statistics... It learns us that mobile devices sell pretty well, but tells us nothing about how people use them (I know many smartphone users who never installed an application or never opened a browser or email with their device).
    If Android or iOS were meant to compete with desktop OS's, why would Google put so many efforts (with little reward until now) in CromeOS and why would Apple continue MacOSX ??? Why combine their market share ? They're complementary, with a rather limited overlap area in terms of usage...
  • 0 Hide
    nafhan , January 21, 2013 12:38 PM
    What's up with 2005? Apple jumped to 21% and "other" to 29%. I'm guessing it was due to how they were measuring things or something. It looks weird. I would have expected a jump in Apple OS usage around the iPhone release, not two years prior.
  • -7 Hide
    lradunovic77 , January 21, 2013 12:39 PM
    Steam Box will change everything and once Gamers move to Linux...Windows is over.
  • 6 Hide
    Shin-san , January 21, 2013 12:43 PM
    FiliprinoLinux is only a kernel not an OS. Android has a totally different userspace than GNU/Linux, it does not serve to us, GNU/Linux users, having Android with that marketshare. Hell, Android devices have bad GNU/Linux compatibility thanks to the use of propietary protocols like MTP that have to be reverse engineered and hacked to work with the quirks of the poor quality software manufacturers deliver.
    And your typical Android app on top of that usually runs on a variant of Java, which is a platform in itself
  • 3 Hide
    susyque747 , January 21, 2013 1:04 PM
    Ubuntu on STEAM is going to drive another nail into the desktop monopoly of Windows. Long Live Open Source, Long Live Linux
  • 3 Hide
    atikkur , January 21, 2013 1:14 PM
    wozza365linux will only get bigger, it now has a lot of things going for it in the desktop space especially with Valve behind linux


    valve with steambox, and ouya, and what else in the future... microsoft is just, alone. the giant is battling with packs of ant.. who will win? if they formed up in unity to create a pleasing and enjoyfull ecosystem, of course the ants and its costumer will win.
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