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DDR3 Modules to Near 90% Market Share in 2011

by - source: IHS iSuppli

DDR3 memory will climb to a dominant market range of almost 90% this year, market researchers from IHS iSuppli said today.

The company predicts that it will begin to fade in 2014 and hand over the majority of the market to next version of DRAM in 2015.

According to IHS iSuppli, DDR3 will account for 89% of a total of 808 million DRAM modules that will be shipped this year. DDR2's share will decrease to just 9%, down from 29% in 2010. DDR3 market share in 2010 was 67%. The market research firm predicts DDR3 will hit 92% next year and 94% in 2013.

“DDR3 has been the main DRAM module technology shipped in terms of bits since the first quarter of 2010, gaining adoption quickly in the PC ecosphere as the market’s primary driver,” said Clifford Leimbach, analyst for memory demand forecasting at IHS. “Not only is DDR3 the dominant technology today in the three PC channels for original equipment manufacturers, the PC white-box space and the upgrade market, DDR3 is also the chief presence across all PC applications, such as desktops and laptops, as well as their subcategories in the performance, mainstream and entry-level computing sectors.”

DDR4 is expected to account for 12% market share in 2014 and approach 56% in 2015, while DDR3 is estimated to drop to just 42%.

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cobra5000 06/28/2011 2:03 AM
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bavman 06/28/2011 2:05 AM
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Bring on DDR4

dragonsqrrl 06/28/2011 2:13 AM
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cobra5000 :
I call B.S. on this report.


What makes you say that?

RazberyBandit 06/28/2011 2:58 AM
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As if this were a big surprise... Widespread DDR3 use began 2 years ago, and every platform currently used is based upon it.

We'll probably see the same thing in about three years when it comes to DDR4.

Tyler-767 06/28/2011 3:14 AM
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cobra5000 :
I call B.S. on this report.



Depending on how you interpret the article I would agree. If you read it "90% market share in 2011", meaning that 90 percent of computers will have ddr3 then I doubt the report. If that were the case then 90 percent of computers would be windows 7 or vista since DDR3 became popular in that era.

If you read it as 90 percent "shipping" market share, then that makes more sense. Tom's didn't do a good job clarifying.

plznote 06/28/2011 3:35 AM
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How 'bout DDR?

AppleBlowsDonkeyBalls 06/28/2011 3:46 AM
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Shipped units does not equal market share. DDR2 still has a lot more market share than DDR3; that is, it has a higher install base. If you actually think that DDR3 will account for 90% of all Memory in 2011, I'm selling a bridge you might be interested in.

If we were to follow the logic in this article, Windows 7 would have over 90% market share this year, which is absolute BS.

Or maybe it could be that you meant something else and didn't express it right. :thinking:

someguynamedmatt 06/28/2011 4:00 AM
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I'm guessing that they mean that 90% of computers currently being sold are using DDR3 - not 'market share'. Just my opinion... like Tyler said, it has to be the 'shipping share' instead of actual market volume. If they mean what they've said, though, then they're wrong. Period.

iam2thecrowe 06/28/2011 4:05 AM
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bavman :
Bring on DDR4


why ddr4? graphics cards already come equipped with DDR5, i dont see why they cant use this for motherboards. I dont think i have ever seen DDR4 used in anything....it was a jump from ddr3-ddr5 in graphics cards.

eklipz330 06/28/2011 4:51 AM
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i remember when i got ddr2, ddr3 was just recently released... and 6gb was around $400

lee3821 06/28/2011 6:35 AM
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iam2thecrowe wrote :

why ddr4? graphics cards already come equipped with DDR5, i dont see why they cant use this for motherboards. I dont think i have ever seen DDR4 used in anything....it was a jump from ddr3-ddr5 in graphics cards.



The graphics numbering system doesn't have anything to do with the normal numbering system for DDR SDRAM. GDDR4 did exist, but wasn't widely used. I think it was only in two cards, ever. GDDR5 is based of DDR3. There is no graphics card using a DDR4-based graphics memory, as DDR4 has yet to enter widespread production, and thus hasn't had time to have a graphics memory standard based off of it.

TLDR The "DDR5" you are talking about is actually DDR3. DDR4 will come, and with it will come GDDR6 or GDDR7. It's a good thing. For gamers, the more relevant point (until more memory bandwidth intensive games come out) is that any GDDR based off DDR4 will allow for more performance than comparable GDDR5, which should help with graphics memory bandwidth bottlenecks.

SteelCity1981 06/28/2011 6:43 AM
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Market share and user share are two diff things. DDR3 may account for 92% of the ram being produced, but the vast majority of your typical computer user still runs DDR2 based systems, because your typical computer user doesn't upgrade to a new pc but on avg every 4+ years.

bin1127 06/28/2011 7:19 AM
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SteelCity1981 :
Market share and user share are two diff things. DDR3 may account for 92% of the ram being produced, but the vast majority of your typical computer user still runs DDR2 based systems, because your typical computer user doesn't upgrade to a new pc but on avg every 4+ years.



Yeah, I think the article just meant market share of this year's sales. Or else, DDR1 would still be a big segment of the market.

alidan 06/28/2011 7:54 AM
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i have a question...

how important is ddr3 and 4? i mean on a benchmark for lets say a game, how big a difference will it make?

ram drive, video editing, and a few other take advantage of high speed ram, but average consumer?

what i would love to see instead of ddr4 is a new way ram is put together, and housed on the motherboard.

lets say that a stick pops out twice-4 times as much, and its a 24-32gb ram drive. it has its own power supply like thing, really a battery to keep data stored. it will last about a week while the computer is off, and this drive is really more like a hdd/ssd mirror, because (wiki quote) ddr3 can go 6400 MB/s

imagine this, you right click a program, and you can load it into ram drive as an option, it mirrors every file opened over to the drive and now opening the program is effortless. game load times would sease to exist.

or have it for a os boot.

after a week when the battery dies, it just goes back over to loading from the hdd/ssd

really wish some company would steal my idea... just so it exists.

eddieroolz 06/28/2011 7:55 AM
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Contributing 2 modules!

Haserath 06/28/2011 8:24 AM
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Quote :According to IHS iSuppli, DDR3 will account for 89% of a total of 808 million DRAM modules that will be shipped this year

Right there in the article guys.
iam2thecrowe :
why ddr4? graphics cards already come equipped with DDR5, i dont see why they cant use this for motherboards. I dont think i have ever seen DDR4 used in anything....it was a jump from ddr3-ddr5 in graphics cards.


That's GDDR not just DDR, it's a different type of technology.

cats_paw 06/28/2011 10:41 AM
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I dont really see the point of those DDR changes. I belive DDR2 and DDR3 are almost the same in performance...

alidan 06/28/2011 12:13 PM
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cats_paw :
I dont really see the point of those DDR changes. I belive DDR2 and DDR3 are almost the same in performance...



no, in theoretical performance, ddr3 is allot faster, but in real world apps, nothing takes full advantage of that, as in if ddr2 was 100, than ddr3 would be about 150, however in real world applications you would only see about 80-90 on either ram.

the only real way to take advantage of that speed is like i stated above, a ram drive.

Graham_71 06/28/2011 3:26 PM
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[citation][nom]AppleBlowsDonkeyBalls[/nom]If we were to follow the logic in this article, Windows 7 would have over 90% market share this year, which is absolute BS.citation]

Not necessarily. If I were upgrading to a new PC this year it would be new MB+CPU+RAM (DDR3) & vga card. Would keep old HDD & reinstall windows xp

zak_mckraken 06/28/2011 5:29 PM
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Indeed, 90% of the sales of DDR memory will be DDR3 and computers will be shipped with DDR3 memory makes more sense than saying 90% of computers will be using DDR3 memory. I still have only 4GB DDR2-800 and my rig still runs like a charm!

f-14 06/28/2011 6:58 PM
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cobra5000 :
I call B.S. on this report.


all you thumbs downers need to learn how to read
Quote :that will be shipped this year.

now think on this statement that is nothing more then a fictoral figure based on the fact they aren't making DDR2 any more and the market is down all across the board.
ddr1 still accounts for 12 pct market share.
this study done by this company sounds very manipulated since ddr and ddr2 still account for 30 percent of store sales in memory every day at best buy, microcenter and officemax and office depot. those are actual sales figures real time right now last week, not projections for upcoming quarters that have yet to arrive.

digiex 06/28/2011 7:02 PM
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fir_ser 06/28/2011 9:32 PM
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Interesting news but not surprising.

fir_ser 06/28/2011 9:34 PM
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So we need to wait 3 years for DDR4 to be released.

palladin9479 06/29/2011 8:36 AM
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Speed of main memory is very important for anyone using a build in GPU that use's SMA. In that case the performance difference between the two gets pretty noticeable. But again that's in on board graphics, something that's not popular with gamers and thus rarely thought about.

radi8600 06/29/2011 5:13 PM
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Hello everyone,

I have a question. What is the tendency of price reduction of DDR3? Can we expect further drop in the prices as we see every 1-2 mounts? Can we expect cheaper DDR3 RAM in the future or is it now the lowest possible point? Is there any difference between normal DDR3 and SODIMM DDR3 modules of laptops or do they go "hand-by-hand"? I am especially concerned about the European market.

Thanks

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