AI is eating entry-level coding and customer service roles, according to a new Stanford study — junior job listings drop 13% in three years in fields vulnerable to AI
After tracking payroll data, it found 13% fewer entry-level employment opportunities over the past three years.

A new study out of Stanford University suggests that artificial intelligence tools are making it much harder for workers looking to fill entry-level positions in software development and customer service, as per Bloomberg. It noted a significant slowing in employment for younger, inexperienced workers, but found that employment prospects for more experienced workers may have actually improved.
Although a recent MIT study suggested that most businesses employing AI didn't see much of an improvement in profitability, it hasn't stopped many companies around the world from pushing to adopt it in some fashion. In some specific industries, that adoption may be harming the career prospects of those seeking entry-level positions.
The Sanford study, coauthored by economist Erik Brynjolfsson and researchers at Stanford's Digital Economy Lab, found that over the past three years, employment for people starting out in fields that are more vulnerable to AI had fallen. Entry-level roles for accounting, development, and admin fell by 13%. This particularly affected younger employees in the 22-25 age bracket, although the study did note that other entry-level fields, like nursing technicians, had seen an uptick in employment during that same period.
It also found that more-experienced roles and positions at the tracked companies either remained the same or grew in scope, suggesting perhaps that more experienced workers utilizing AI may be able to be more productive, absorbing some of the functions of those entry-level positions in the process.
The study reportedly tracked data from payroll processor Automatic Data Processing, and considered payroll statements from thousands of companies, with a collective millions of employees.
Since the debut of popular AI chatbot tools like ChatGPT, there's been an ongoing debate about their impact on the workplace. The argument that they can automate simple roles in specific industries appears to be given at least some weight by this study. The counterargument suggests that AI tools may make people more productive, increasing overall output rather than eliminating entry-level roles.
This study appears to suggest that the argument may also be true, and indeed, perhaps both can coexist. It does raise the question of how these kinds of roles will be filled in the future, though. If AI makes already-high-performing employees perform even better, but eliminates the roles that allowed them to reach that experience and ability in the first place, where will the next generation of developers, accountants, and admin assistants come from?
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Some industry leaders believe those roles will simply be taken over by AI, whereas others believe it may lead to more creative endeavours, making humans more suited for the ideation portion of a company's efforts, rather than in the execution.
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Jon Martindale is a contributing writer for Tom's Hardware. For the past 20 years, he's been writing about PC components, emerging technologies, and the latest software advances. His deep and broad journalistic experience gives him unique insights into the most exciting technology trends of today and tomorrow.
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-Fran- I think this deserves the pedantry as a comment: it's not "AI", but the execs that think these models are good enough to replace some humans in their respective functions. Which, let's be honest, some humans are really under current AI capabilities, which is sad to say. Still, execs pushing for AI to replace positions is not necessarily due to the merit of AI, but for experimentation or market pressure (which is often their excuse) or just to not get sued by shareholders for not "jumping on the short-term profit bandwagon".Reply
That's an important thing to point out because there's also reports of several AI transitions gone wrong and being reverted in several industries as well. On top of the slow down of a lot of rollouts in some spaces, including the ones mentioned in this article.
From what I can see, AI is actually helpful in certain areas, but they most definitely won't replace anyone with more than two braincells in any particular function within a Company. Executives losing sight of what employees are good and not pushing all of the externalities to AI, that's the real story here.
Regards. -
LordVile
You’re assuming that companies will stop at low end jobs and won’t just use it to replace the entire customer service department.-Fran- said:I think this deserves the pedantry as a comment: it's not "AI", but the execs that think these models are good enough to replace some humans in their respective functions. Which, let's be honest, some humans are really under current AI capabilities, which is sad to say. Still, execs pushing for AI to replace positions is not necessarily due to the merit of AI, but for experimentation or market pressure (which is often their excuse) or just to not get sued by shareholders for not "jumping on the short-term profit bandwagon".
That's an important thing to point out because there's also reports of several AI transitions gone wrong and being reverted in several industries as well. On top of the slow down of a lot of rollouts in some spaces, including the ones mentioned in this article.
From what I can see, AI is actually helpful in certain areas, but they most definitely won't replace anyone with more than two braincells in any particular function within a Company. Executives losing sight of what employees are good and not pushing all of the externalities to AI, that's the real story here.
Regards. -
Flemkopf Back eight years ago when I was fresh out of school I saw one company that had about thirty openings for software engineers with 3-5 years of experience. Guess how many they had for less than that?Reply
Seriously, where do hiring managers assume these experienced engineers come from? If you're not willing to onboard and train the occasional newbie engineer, you're probably not willing to develop or take care of the engineers you've got and you're going to get no loyalty long-term. That loss of knowledge of your own products and process will absolutely kill you, I've seen it happen first hand. -
Gururu This is going to impact mostly white and asian men who account for 80% of all entry-level programmers according to Google AI. I think Trump will help here.Reply -
vanadiel007 This is why I keep telling people who work from home, to get their bodies back to work.Reply
AI can and will replace brain work, but not your body. -
jg.millirem
The physical presence of your body is unimportant for many kinds of work, including development and customer service. This was verified through several years of COVID - we’ve hashed this out already. Your little dictum here is just reinforcement for the C suiters and the managers clinging to old business “wisdom”.vanadiel007 said:This is why I keep telling people who work from home, to get their bodies back to work.
AI can and will replace brain work, but not your body. -
jg.millirem Flemkopf said:
Seriously, where do hiring managers assume these experienced engineers come from? If you're not willing to onboard and train the occasional newbie engineer, you're probably not willing to develop or take care of the engineers you've got and you're going to get no loyalty long-term. That loss of knowledge of your own products and process will absolutely kill you, I've seen it happen first hand.
Tech capitalism wants young workers who have spent high school and even grade school living and breathing code. It’s a really sick system.