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NASA: Asteroid Apophis Will Not Strike Earth

By - Source: NASA | B 28 comments
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NASA scientist ruled out the possibility that the asteroid Apophis will strike Earth in a flyby in 2036.

Discovered in 2004, Apophis has a diameter of about 325 m, was originally believed to be approaching Earth close enough in 2029 and 2036 to justify closer investigations on the probability for impact.

NASA, however, is now certain that Apophis will not hit Earth in 2036 and will pass our planet at a distance of no closer than 19,400 miles on April 13, 2029. The impact odds as they stand now are less than one in a million, which makes us comfortable saying we can effectively rule out an Earth impact in 2036," said Don Yeomans, manager of NASA's Near-Earth Object Program Office at JPL. "Our interest in asteroid Apophis will essentially be for its scientific interest for the foreseeable future."

In February, NASA is expecting a much closer flyby of 2012 DA14, an asteroid with a diameter of about 40 meters, at a distance of about 17,200 miles. 2012 DA14 will approach Earth again in 2046 at a distance of about 50,000 miles.

 

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  • 17 Hide
    Herr_Koos , January 15, 2013 11:42 AM
    Apophis?! Where is SG-1 when you need them?
  • 12 Hide
    SchizoFrog , January 15, 2013 11:25 AM
    Damn... I was hoping it would be able to stop the monster that is Apple... and Justin Bieber.
Other Comments
  • 6 Hide
    cats_Paw , January 15, 2013 11:22 AM
    Grumpy cat will be dissapointed...
    Somehow i dont think Nasa knows about ALL of the potencial asteroids out there.
  • 12 Hide
    SchizoFrog , January 15, 2013 11:25 AM
    Damn... I was hoping it would be able to stop the monster that is Apple... and Justin Bieber.
  • -1 Hide
    mikenygmail , January 15, 2013 11:29 AM
    So this accounts for the small "window" of space as well? From what I understand, if Apophis passed through this window it would mean a certain impact in the future. Once the first pass takes place, we'll have a better idea.
  • 1 Hide
    mikenygmail , January 15, 2013 11:32 AM
    Cats_PawGrumpy cat will be dissapointed...Somehow i dont think Nasa knows about ALL of the potencial asteroids out there.


    They have admitted as much - many asteroids remain a danger, especially small ones that could strike the atmosphere like the one that supposedly caused the Tunguska event. That would be enough to take out a city.
  • 17 Hide
    Herr_Koos , January 15, 2013 11:42 AM
    Apophis?! Where is SG-1 when you need them?
  • -1 Hide
    A Bad Day , January 15, 2013 11:43 AM
    Cats_PawGrumpy cat will be dissapointed...Somehow i dont think Nasa knows about ALL of the potencial asteroids out there.


    Because NASA has to operate on a shoestring budget. Why fund an effective asteroid detection/counter system that might not be used 30-50 years from now when you can throw the money elsewhere?

    (A nuke does not count as a counter. Contrary to Hollywood, a nuke may end up turning the asteroid into a gigantic hail of buckshot, which is worse because the hail could do more damage than the asteroid itself)
  • 2 Hide
    g00fysmiley , January 15, 2013 11:44 AM
    To be fair we already knwo how to deal with incoming astroids to avoid impact "This can be accomplished by irradiating the surface of an inbound rock with sufficiently intense pulses so that ablation occurs. This ablation acts as a small rocket incrementally changing the shape of the rock’s orbit around the Sun. One‐kilometer size rocks can be moved sufficiently in about a month while smaller rocks may be moved in a shorter time span. " this is part of a very interesting read , a paper by Jonathan W. Campbell Claude Phipps Larry Smalley James Reilly and Dona Bocci titled The Impact Imperative: Laser Ablation for Deflecting Asteroids, Meteoroids, and Comets from Impacting the Earth google it, a good read
  • -4 Hide
    JOSHSKORN , January 15, 2013 11:47 AM
    Damn, I was hoping it'd hit the middle east.
  • -2 Hide
    virtualban , January 15, 2013 12:01 PM
    Waiting for this:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-zvCUmeoHpw
    :p  :p 
  • 0 Hide
    Anonymous , January 15, 2013 12:10 PM
    But, if any dust collides with the asteroid, the asteroid route can changes...
  • 0 Hide
    acadia11 , January 15, 2013 12:11 PM
    Darn after watching "Melancholia" and "Seeking a friend for the End of the World" , I was really looking forward to it.
  • 0 Hide
    mikenygmail , January 15, 2013 12:12 PM
    I just hope this is not a giant alien ship hiding behind Mercury:

    http://tinyurl.com/bant47v
  • -4 Hide
    acadia11 , January 15, 2013 12:13 PM
    I wanted it to land of some conservative religious function with a carving attached, "Johny was here, 10,000 BC"
  • 1 Hide
    steve360 , January 15, 2013 12:26 PM
    April 13, 2029 is a Friday. NASA shouldn't jump to conclusions so far out.
  • 0 Hide
    Hando567 , January 15, 2013 12:48 PM
    Its a shame this prediction assumes an uninterrupted path, who is to say a slightly smaller asteroid doesnt bump into it and push it into a path with earth. Unlikely but 17 years is a long time and no one thinks to look for inter-asteroid collision paths to my knowledge, so who knows what could happen. Also, Apophis was supposed to pass us in 2029, not 2036.
  • -1 Hide
    greghome , January 15, 2013 12:52 PM
  • 0 Hide
    Devoteicon , January 15, 2013 2:40 PM
    This is just damage control. Apophis is still capable of hitting us and we should all be very worried.
  • -1 Hide
    Anonymous , January 15, 2013 3:02 PM
    Heard of this asteroid about a year ago... Big buzz at the time of discovery in amateur astronomy, then the calcs were redone by either NASA or the European space agency, took over a year to do.... Apparently to make it a one in a million chance of hitting earth larger margins of errors were introduced to create a wider flight path band so to speak, so that the earth takes up a tiny part of it... hence a now one in a million chance of it colliding with earth. I think the gfc was created to hide the trillions required to send Bruce up to knock it off course. Suddenly there are private companies hoping to mine near earth asteroids within a few years....

    On another conspiracy theory... anyone else notice the global warming nay sayers, there is one such particular silly old bugger on Sydney radio, offloading their waterfront properties and buying large chunks of cheap, soon to be very lucrative, high ground?
  • 1 Hide
    Non-Euclidean , January 15, 2013 3:13 PM
    Whew! Good news. SG-1 can stand down now.
  • -4 Hide
    susyque747 , January 15, 2013 3:16 PM
    So NASA got away long enough from their new goal of Muslim outreach (Obama said so, look it up) to research this, LOL.
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