Trump may allow Nvidia to ship hobbled current-gen Blackwell AI GPUs to China — U.S. gov't would get 15% of related revenue, China firms would get access to far faster GPUs

Nvidia Blackwell Ultra B300 racks and servers
(Image credit: Tom's Hardware)

U.S. President Donald Trump indicated he might permit Nvidia to sell cut-down versions of its Blackwell AI processors to Chinese entities, provided that the company cuts their performance significantly and shares 15% of revenue obtained from such transactions to the federal government, reports Bloomberg. The same can be applied to AMD's Instinct MI308. 

"It is possible I would make a deal [on a] 'somewhat enhanced in a negative way — Blackwell' processor," Trump told reporters earlier today. "In other words, take 30% to 50% off of it." 

Trump made his Blackwell-related remarks on the same occasion as he confirmed that he had finalized an unusual arrangement allowing Nvidia to sell its H20 HGX GPU to China-based entities if it pays 15% of the related sales revenue to the U.S. government. According to a source, AMD will match this requirement for its Instinct MI308 sales to China. 

Cutting down the performance of Nvidia's B100, B200, or B300 GPU by 30% to 50% will still give Chinese entities formidable levels of performance. Today, the best thing Chinese companies can get is Nvidia's H20 HGX GPU that offers 148 FP16/BF16 TFLOPS and 296 FP8 TFLOPS for AI training and inference, respectively. However, a hypothetical B100 cut-down by 50% will give buyers 900 FP16/BF16 TFLOPS, 1.75 FP8 PFLOPS, and 3.5 FP4 PFLOPS for AI training and inference. No Chinese-made AI accelerator can match such rates. 

But if Trump's administration follows the U.S. President's proposal to cut down even the lowest-end data center-grade Blackwell by 50%, then it looks like both AMD and Nvidia will be able to ship much faster products to China. This might be good news for these companies, as they will be able to charge more for such hardware and increase their earnings. Of course, the U.S. government will also get its slice. 

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Anton Shilov
Contributing Writer

Anton Shilov is a contributing writer at Tom’s Hardware. Over the past couple of decades, he has covered everything from CPUs and GPUs to supercomputers and from modern process technologies and latest fab tools to high-tech industry trends.

  • tamalero
    I wonder how much "incentives" Nvidia provided Trump.
    Reply
  • John Nemesh
    As long as Trump gets his 15% illegal kickback, he could care less if it endangers National Security...
    Reply
  • TerryLaze
    tamalero said:
    I wonder how much "incentives" Nvidia provided Trump.
    15% of revenue, it's in the title.
    That's billions of dollars, potentially.
    John Nemesh said:
    As long as Trump gets his 15% illegal kickback, he could care less if it endangers National Security...
    He does care a little bit, otherwise they wouldn't be downgraded at all, let alone heavily.
    "heavily downgraded Blackwell AI processors"
    Reply
  • Stomx
    Look at this masterpiece motherboard design of NVIDIA. NVIDIA tightly packs and sells their GPUs like hot cakes by millions right now. As a small improvement I'd like to see water cooling though...

    Let's leave alone Intel which lies face down in the mud now, but where is AMD offering similar designs not with the GPUs but with their CPU processors? The user might initially buy one processor, then add second, third etc all till 8. What, AMD doesn't want to sell more CPUs, more motherboards? Where are Gigabyte, ASUS and others with similar mobos?

    I understand 12-channel RAM requires a lot of space, but then make your existing dual-CPU motherboard like MZ73 adding there fast link a la NVIDIA NVLink and allow users to connect 2, 3, 4 etc motherboards into parallel system. By the way, the two processor interconnect in MZ73 is only 40 GB/s and works perfectly, the existing PCIe5.0 is already almost twice faster.

    If their engineering mental stall will continue, in just few more years AMD will follow Intel into oblivion, while Intel at that time will be resting in peace and already forgotten
    Reply
  • John Nemesh
    TerryLaze said:
    15% of revenue, it's in the title.
    That's billions of dollars, potentially.

    He does care a little bit, otherwise they wouldn't be downgraded at all, let alone heavily.
    "heavily downgraded Blackwell AI processors"
    No, they are talking the full, un-nerfed versions.
    Reply
  • TerryLaze
    John Nemesh said:
    No, they are talking the full, un-nerfed versions.
    Where?! Because this article doesn't.
    Reply
  • John Nemesh
    TerryLaze said:
    Where?! Because this article doesn't.
    https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/under-new-unusual-agreement-u-s-will-get-a-15-cut-of-nvidia-and-amd-chip-sales-to-china
    They are talking about the full version H20 chips, not nerfed versions.
    Reply