Every once in a while, Intel restores our confidence that Moore's Law is still alive and well.
According to the company, future production processes down to 5 nm are on the horizon and will most likely be reached without significant problems. Following the current 22 nm process, Intel's manufacturing cadence suggests that the first 14 nm products will arrive in late 2013, 10 nm in 2015, 7 nm in 2017, and 5 nm in 2019. A slight adjustment has been made to include different production processes for traditional processors and now SoCs. The company previously indicated that SoCs will be accelerated to catch up with the process applied to Intel's main processor products.
According to reports, Intel does not see any reason to believe that Moore's Law, which is really more an accepted guideline and observation rather an actual "law", will be breached by the company within 10 years, which indicates that Intel has visibility even beyond 5 nm. At this time, Intel has 14 nm in development, and 10 nm manufacturing in its research phase.
Also, Intel said that it is planning to move from 300 mm to 450 mm production wafers, but this switch is still about five years out. There was no information on the introduction of EUV lithography.

Glad to see Intel is moving forward without issues.
Agreed, quantum computing is where I'd be investing my R&D right now. I think they will have problems before 2019.
The problem is worse than that. If you consider that the typical doping level for an n-channel or a p-channel is on the order of 1:1000 atoms, then that means you need to actually have 1000 atoms for one of them to be doped (replacing Si with some other atom in the lattice). So a structure that is only 25 atoms wide by 25 atoms long is only 625 atoms per atomic layer. I remember reading somewhere that they need a minimum number of doped atoms for there to be any actual electrical effect, but I don't remember what that number was.
Well good thing YOU were here to point that out!!! I'm sure none of the engineers and scientists at Intel have been poring over this exact problem for the last 10 years or so. Jesus P. Christ on a water buffalo I better got those dudes on the horn and share your revelation!
or better yet, 0.5nm, then run 1.5V through it
thermal density FTW
Yeah well, we better start loonking for a John Connor, we have like 5 years from now
There are these things called laws of physics and unless they are wrong, engineers have to deal with them. Getting to extremely small scales can change how things interact, especially concerning electrical properties. Engineers can't change how a material behaves in a given situation, so unless they make some sort of breakthrough, approaching sizes such as 5nm and lower can be significant problems for some things. For example, we've been working on space travel for over fifty years, yet we still don't (at least not officially) have light speed travel, let alone faster than light travel. Engineers aren't magic. If there is no solution to a problem or at least no solution that works with current technology, then they can't solve that problem, period. That's probably what balister was talking about, whether or not Intel has managed to overcome the difficulties involved in continuing to shrink the transistors and the distance between them.
I am sure nobody in Intel has thought of this! You should go apply a job at Intel! I am sure they'll make you CEO!
LOL it's a LAW OF PHYSICS. . . unless you can make a breakthrough? LOL.
They'll replace silicon with carbon at some point and then they can build 1nm transistors while at the same time drastically increasing clockspeeds. Then computer hardware will have reached a dead end (it will be many times faster than today's hardware however, probably fast enough to support the same level of intelligence as the human brain), unless quantum computing turns out to be feasible one day.
Thinking about something and actually being able to do anything about it with the technology are two very different things. Intel will probably have to use a different type of technology because even if Intel manages to use make transistors out of individual atoms and having them placed less than 1nm apart, they would be pretty much entirely incapable of going any further in this scale. Whether or not there are other things that can then be done instead of shrinking the scale is not what balister was talking about. Also, engineers generally aren't CEOs. That's why they're engineers instead of business men.