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Quad-Core CPUs in Half of All Notebooks in 2015

By - Source: iSuppli | B 24 comments

Quad-core processors appear to finally due to enter the mainstream in mobile computers, according to a forecast released by IHS iSuppli.

About 49 percent all notebooks shipped in 2015 are predicted to come with quad-core processors, up from 9 percent this year. The market research firm estimates that 160 million notebooks in 2015 will offer four cores, compared to just 21.2 million in 2011.

“The cornerstone of PC performance, the microprocessor, is continuing to evolve to provide new levels of performance to the PC market,” said Matthew Wilkins, principal analyst at IHS. "The battle now has moved from the dual-core segment into the quad-core area—and next will spread to the six-core realm.”

As hexa-core processors are also entering the notebook market, the quad-core CPU will be the norm and make up the clear majority of the notebook market. IHS iSuppli believes that 18 percent of notebooks will integrate six processing cores.

The market research firm also offered an outlook for heterogeneous microprocessors in notebooks that place a GPU on the processor die. The company predicts a rapid adoption and expects 90 percent of notebooks sold in 2015 to use this technology.

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  • 10 Hide
    THEfog101 , July 14, 2011 3:10 AM
    *Waiting for the usual whine about battery life*
  • 10 Hide
    aznguy0028 , July 14, 2011 3:15 AM
    THEfog101*Waiting for the usual whine about battery life*

    Pssh, battery! We all know that notebooks in 2015 will be ran on a small nuclear reactor ;) 
Other Comments
  • 10 Hide
    THEfog101 , July 14, 2011 3:10 AM
    *Waiting for the usual whine about battery life*
  • 10 Hide
    aznguy0028 , July 14, 2011 3:15 AM
    THEfog101*Waiting for the usual whine about battery life*

    Pssh, battery! We all know that notebooks in 2015 will be ran on a small nuclear reactor ;) 
  • 4 Hide
    Yargnit , July 14, 2011 3:16 AM
    Only 50%? Shouldn't it be 50% by 2013 when both Intel and AND should be on 22nm? By 2015 they should both be on 18nm (I believe it's 18nm next, no?) and anything above bottom budget laptop would have hex core processors at least I'd think. (Hell, even the tablets coming out early 2012 are supposed to be quad core)
  • 2 Hide
    captaincharisma , July 14, 2011 3:47 AM
    well the CPU's caught up now if they can put desktop caliber graphics chips in laptops they can have the same power as some of the best desktops
  • 2 Hide
    stonedatheist , July 14, 2011 3:52 AM
    YargnitOnly 50%? Shouldn't it be 50% by 2013 when both Intel and AND should be on 22nm? By 2015 they should both be on 18nm (I believe it's 18nm next, no?) and anything above bottom budget laptop would have hex core processors at least I'd think. (Hell, even the tablets coming out early 2012 are supposed to be quad core)


    Agreed. Though they would be on 16nm. Since you get a doubling of transistors every node, you would get a quadrupling every other node and that would make it exactly half the half-pitch. So to figure out the upcoming node, you would simply take the node before the current one and half it (ie half of 32 is 16)
  • 0 Hide
    iubyont , July 14, 2011 3:56 AM
    Why is this necessary? Doesn't a HT dual core provide a better battery life to performance balance? How many people even use their laptops for CPU intensive tasks.
  • 1 Hide
    thomaseron , July 14, 2011 4:36 AM
    Yay, from good gaming on the go, to great gaming on the go! :-D

    Edit: Although, I think it will be earlier than 2015.
  • -6 Hide
    Anonymous , July 14, 2011 5:20 AM

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  • 1 Hide
    jrharbort , July 14, 2011 6:02 AM
    For 2015, this projection seems rather low. I'd expect the number of quad core equipped shipments to be much higher. Even dual cores today are starting to show their limitations in certain areas other than gaming. This is particularly evident in the mobile space where dual cores are clocked even lower.
  • 0 Hide
    Anonymous , July 14, 2011 6:49 AM
    i just want a very low power core2duo at say, 2,6ghz, if they do it with 32nm tecnology i bet it would stay below 10W consumption.
  • 0 Hide
    walter87 , July 14, 2011 7:11 AM
    iubyontWhy is this necessary? Doesn't a HT dual core provide a better battery life to performance balance? How many people even use their laptops for CPU intensive tasks.

    The whole point of technology is to push the boundaries and make things better.
    If we were to simply stop innovating or pushing hardware, then the entire market will get stale.
  • 0 Hide
    td854 , July 14, 2011 7:15 AM
    If it really takes that long to get 50% of laptops shipped having quad cores, we better be seeing at least 50% of desktops having hexa or octocore around the same time.

    I don't just play games, I do a lot of work that would utilize all those cores so it's important from my point of view.
  • 0 Hide
    hannibal , July 14, 2011 8:07 AM
    No wonder why programmers are not/(have not been) too "willing" to make programs that utilize more than one core... *sigh*
    "One core to rule the all"
  • 0 Hide
    Anonymous , July 14, 2011 9:08 AM
    According to intel's tiktok map haswell(22 nm) will come in early 2013 with 8 core and 32 mb of l3 cache followed by broadwell and skylark (14 nm) after it skymont (10 nm) So i think in 2015 almost every budget notebook would atleast have a hexa core or octa core in it
  • 1 Hide
    SteelCity1981 , July 14, 2011 9:28 AM
    walter87The whole point of technology is to push the boundaries and make things better.If we were to simply stop innovating or pushing hardware, then the entire market will get stale.



    That's great and all but if you don't have the technology to post better battery life with a quad core mobile device then it becomes more of an annoyance then a convenience of having Quad Cores in a mobile device.
  • 0 Hide
    TheMaristBoy , July 14, 2011 12:03 PM
    Just imagine, mobile devices would need to have windmills and solar panels to power themselves!
  • 0 Hide
    vaughn2k , July 14, 2011 1:06 PM
    And what's in it? An A8 or an i7?
  • 0 Hide
    stingstang , July 14, 2011 1:06 PM
    stonedatheistAgreed. Though they would be on 16nm. Since you get a doubling of transistors every node, you would get a quadrupling every other node and that would make it exactly half the half-pitch. So to figure out the upcoming node, you would simply take the node before the current one and half it (ie half of 32 is 16)

    Nooo...Think about it. Intel will be at 16nm, AMD will still be at 22.
    Also, 2015 should have 6-8 cores in half of all laptops. Most of the bulldozer chips coming out will be 8-core designs, which means that the laptops will integrate them shortly afterwards, and intel won't take that sitting down.
  • 0 Hide
    beavermml , July 14, 2011 1:32 PM
    then 90% of the customers just utilizing 2 cores for web-surfing and facebook...
  • 0 Hide
    custodian-1 , July 14, 2011 1:35 PM
    iubyontWhy is this necessary? Doesn't a HT dual core provide a better battery life to performance balance? How many people even use their laptops for CPU intensive tasks.


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