Nvidia hints at early Vera Rubin launch — on track for $500 billion in GPU sales by late 2026 despite losing China

Nvidia
(Image credit: Nvidia/YouTube)

When Nvidia talked about the launch of its Vera Rubin computing platform for AI and HPC, it only mentioned the second half of 2026 as the launch window for the platform, but this week, Jensen Huang, chief executive of the company, has specified that Nvidia's next-generation CPU and GPU will launch already in the third quarter of 2026. The release of the new platform will be instrumental for the company in achieving $0.5 billion in sales of compute GPUs by the end of 2026, even without selling them to clients in China.

"We are on track to deliver Vera Rubin about Q3 time frame of next year, continuing our once-a-year cycle," Jensen Huang told Bloomberg. "Vera Rubin, seven different chips, are back in our labs, and the bring-up is happening across engineering teams. Probably... 20,000 people are bringing up Vera Rubin from silicon, to systems, to software, to algorithms, people are working around the clock. And this bring-up is going beautifully."

"We have said for some time now, our forecast for China is zero," Huang said. "[…] We would love the opportunity to be able to re-engage the Chinese market with the excellent products that we deliver and to be able to compete globally. The Chinese [AI] market is very large. This year, my guess is probably about $50 billion. […] We are going to continue to engage the U.S. government, continue to engage the China government to advise them and to encourage them to allow us to go back and compete in the open market. Until then, we should assume zero."

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Anton Shilov
Contributing Writer

Anton Shilov is a contributing writer at Tom’s Hardware. Over the past couple of decades, he has covered everything from CPUs and GPUs to supercomputers and from modern process technologies and latest fab tools to high-tech industry trends.

  • thestryker
    I wish everyone would stop perpetuating the lie that nvidia has "lost China". The only part of China they've lost is what is explicitly restricted by the Chinese government. The black market for their products is alive and thriving. Gamer's Nexus did a huge investigative report including being on the ground. In a recent video they even had a contact in China go verify that nothing has changed since their reporting from early in the year.

    If anyone who doesn't know is interested and has 3.5 hrs to kill: 1H3xQaf7BFIView: https://youtu.be/1H3xQaf7BFI?si=Yyz07Hrqd_bbgPgx
    Reply
  • SkyBill40
    "We are going to continue to engage the U.S. government, continue to engage the China government to advise them and to encourage them to allow us to go back and compete in the open market. Until then, we should assume zero."

    You mean whine and pressure the US government, Jensen? Yeah, we see you.

    "Huang also denied that many of Nvidia's GPUs officially bound for other markets (such as Singapore) are diverted to China and said that the company regularly checks data centers worldwide to ensure that there is no diversion of restricted hardware to restricted countries like China."

    That's a damned lie and he knows it. Steve from Gamers Nexus exposed him plain as day and yet here he is, doubling down on the lie. A snake as green as they get. If AMD could get a card out that was equal to Nvidia's, I'd jump ship and not give him another dime.
    Reply