Elon Musk says his chipmaking 'Terafab Project' venture will launch in seven days — Musk's latest moonshot multi-billion project launches on a Saturday
On Saturday, March 21? What about a cheeseburger?
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Elon Musk spent quite some time last fall complaining that existing foundries cannot meet his company's demand for high-performance AI processors and proposed an idea to build his own chipmaking venture. Apparently, this was not just a brag but rather an announcement of a long-term project. Now the project has gotten its launch date: March 21, 2026.
"Terafab Project launches in 7 days," Elon Musk wrote in an X post.
He did not elaborate on any details about the project, though his previous comments indicated that this is indeed a long-lasting semiconductor production facility project that would enable his companies — Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI — to get enough supply of AI accelerators.
Article continues belowMusk once mentioned that his companies might need 100 – 200 billion AI chips per year, and if it cannot get them from existing foundry partners, then the company will consider building its own fabs. Apparently, the Terafab Project seems to be the brand depicting the endeavor and scale, though it does not provide any reasonable portrayal of the nature of the project.
Speaking in an interview with Moonshots, Elon Musk argued that the semiconductor industry may be approaching cleanroom design incorrectly. Instead of keeping entire buildings ultra-clean, Musk suggested that fabs should focus on isolating silicon wafers themselves throughout the manufacturing flow, keeping them sealed from the surrounding environment at all times. He surmised that would allow him to eat cheesburgers in the cleanroom while chips were being made.
Rebuilding the whole supply chain for such fabs would take the industry a couple of decades, to say the least. For this, Musk argued that his planning horizon is closer to one to two years, and he rarely looks beyond three years, which makes the traditional semiconductor buildout cycle incompatible with his projected demand.
He added back then that if foundries could accelerate expansion and supply 100 billion to 200 billion AI chips per year within Tesla’s required timeframe, the company would gladly rely on external manufacturing instead of pursuing its own facilities.
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Apparently, we are going to see details about the project in a week. The again who launces a multi-billion project on Saturday? This is what we are going to see next Saturday!
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Anton Shilov is a contributing writer at Tom’s Hardware. Over the past couple of decades, he has covered everything from CPUs and GPUs to supercomputers and from modern process technologies and latest fab tools to high-tech industry trends.
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jp7189 Isn't ASML production the ultimate bottleneck of capacity expansion? As far as i understand it all the EUV machines have been spoken for through 2028.Reply -
hotaru251 remember when he said FSD was months away?Reply
over a dozen times?
he likes to say crap. -
bit_user I predict he's just going to waste a lot of money and equipment that could be going to more competent chip manufacturers.Reply
The USA should rapidly move away from relying on SpaceX, so that we're not stuck with having to bail it out, when it goes bankrupt. -
alan.campbell99 This is from the guy who merged twitter with xAI and now xAI with SpaceX because they keep burning money. Only planning out 2 years doesn't sound like a flex to me, seems more like a liability.Reply -
usertests Reply
I've already heard of one company that wants to sidestep ASML: Substrate. I heard about it on Tom's Hardware:jp7189 said:Isn't ASML production the ultimate bottleneck of capacity expansion? As far as i understand it all the EUV machines have been spoken for through 2028.
https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/semiconductors/american-startup-substrate-promises-2nm-class-chipmaking-with-particle-accelerators-at-a-tenth-of-the-cost-of-euv-x-ray-lithography-system-has-potential-to-surpass-asmls-euv-scanners
I think it's not impossible for ASML to be suddenly dethroned by a technological breakthrough, just very unlikely and uncertain. -
bit_user Reply
LOL, if they start looking like any sort of serious threat, ASML will simply buy them! Of course, whether or not such an acquisition would be permitted is another question.usertests said:I've already heard of one company that wants to sidestep ASML: Substrate. I heard about it on Tom's Hardware:
https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/semiconductors/american-startup-substrate-promises-2nm-class-chipmaking-with-particle-accelerators-at-a-tenth-of-the-cost-of-euv-x-ray-lithography-system-has-potential-to-surpass-asmls-euv-scanners
I think it's not impossible for ASML to be suddenly dethroned by a technological breakthrough, just very unlikely and uncertain.
But, it's probably very hard to beat EUV at its own game, because by the time any competing technology is sufficiently refined to the point that you could actually put it into production, ASML will have improved their own equipment to the point where it's now more competitive. -
usertests Reply
Maybe the announcement next week is that Musk is acquiring or striking a deal with Substrate. Whatever they're up to, an infusion of billions of dollars could speed things up.bit_user said:LOL, if they start looking like any sort of serious threat, ASML will simply buy them! Of course, whether or not such an acquisition would be permitted is another question -
bit_user Reply
If he's acquiring them, bad news. If it's merely a partnership, that'd be great!usertests said:Maybe the announcement next week is that Musk is acquiring or striking a deal with Substrate. Whatever they're up to, an infusion of billions of dollars could speed things up. -
Why_Me Reply
Who does it better than SpaceX and btw $500 a share atm.bit_user said:The USA should rapidly move away from relying on SpaceX, so that we're not stuck with having to bail it out, when it goes bankrupt.